Posts Tagged ‘Southwest Stakes 2012’

Grading the Kentucky Derby 2012 Preps: Baffert Sweeps Southwest

Red hot trainer Bob Baffert shipped his Kentucky Derby 2012 contenders to Arkansas on Monday and he walked away with two graded wins in both divisions of the Grade 3 Southwest Stakes.

G3 Southwest division 1 (2-20-12): Castaway (92 BSF)

Bob Baffert

Bob Baffert is on a roll - photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Castaway overcame post eleven to win the first division of the Southwest for Bejarano/Baffert. The SoCal invader tracked pacesetter Majestic Stride and burst clear when that rival weakened. He cruised across the line almost four lengths to the good and paid $15.40.

Jake Mo was up for the place with Reckless Jerry rounding out the top three. The final time was nothing special and this event probably won’t produce a serious Derby contender.

Southwest division 1 Grade: C-

In the second division of the Southwest, Bejarano and Baffert struck again with SoCal invader Secret Circle.

G3 Southwest division 2 (2-20-12): Secret Circle (102 BSF)

Secret Circle tasted defeat for the first time in the G3 Sham and got back on the beam at Oaklawn Park on Monday. The swift son of Eddington intently tracked Scatman and wore that rival down in the late stages. The top two were well clear of show finisher Adirondack King and the final time was strong.

Secret Circle might not be a ten furlong horse but the game colt is fast and has a nose for the wire.

Southwest division 2 Grade: C+

Southwest Stakes (division 2) Preview: Secret Circle vs. Cyber Secret

Monday’s second division of the Grade 3 Southwest Stakes has drawn a competitive field of ten and morning line favorite Secret Circle looms the even money target.

Secret Circle horse

Secret Circle is the even money favorite on Monday - photo by Eclipse Sportswire

#9 Secret Circle (1-1) has earned strong numbers in each of his four starts. He rattled off three straight sprints to begin his promising career including a game victory in the BC Juvenile Sprint. He did all of the pace dirty work in the one mile G3 Sham Stakes at Santa Anita Jan 7 and was tagged by highly regarded colt Out of Bounds. Trainer Bob Baffert gives him another route opportunity and he is training well for this. He looms an obvious prominent throughout player but might be best sprinting and won’t offer any value.

#7 Cyber Secret (4-1) looked good in his local sprint bow at Belmont last fall and I made him my value top in the G2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes. He finished a wide 7th in his ambitious second outing and was purchased privately by Cella/Whiting. He resurfaced in Arkansas this year and had a bad start in his disappointing Jan 15 effort. He rebounded in a big way here Feb 4 and can compete in this spot if he avoids a bounce (returning in 16 days).

#2 Adirondack King (6-1) always runs his race and comes from the same connections (Elliot-Servis) as 2004 Derby-Preakness winner Smarty Jones. He projects a decent tactical journey at a hint of a price.

#1 Z Rockstar (20-1) has fired Trifecta shots in 6 of 7 lifetime starts including a neck defeat at Oaklawn Park Jan 16. He can contend for a minor award at a big number.

#6 Pee H Dee (15-1) owns an ascending numbers pattern and beat today’s rival Z Rockstar by a neck here last time. A minor award is not impossible.

#4 Apprehender (10-1) earned a big number in his romping local sprint debut in the mud. He adds fuel to the fire but is a likely pace casualty.

#3 Scatman (6-1) exits a sharp local sprint win but gets a distance and class check today. I cannot see him putting away the likes of Secret Circle and holding off the late runners.

#10 Big Wednesday (15-1) captured all three synthetic sprints at Presque Isle Downs last year and was 4th in his lone conventional dirt try. He owns running style versatility but drew a tough post and might need the outing.

#8 King Coral (30-1) finished 9th in the Smarty Jones Stakes. The outsider owns low numbers.

#5 Chalybeate Springs (30-1) won a slow local maiden route Jan 14 and followed that up with a last place finish in the G3 Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds. The Wayne Lukas charge is not fast enough to compete here.

The Plays:

$16 to win #7

$3 Exacta Box 2-7 ($6)

.50 cent Trifecta 2-7-9/1-2-6-7-9/1-2-6-7-9 ($18)

Southwest Stakes (division 1) Preview: Reckless Jerry sits trip

Monday’s Grade 3 Southwest Stakes (division 1) has drawn a field of eleven and morning line favorite Longview Drive invades from Southern California for Jerry Hollendorfer.

#5 Longview Drive (5-2) finished 3rd in the low rated G3 Delta Jackpot to end his juvenile campaign and occupied that same spot when last seen in the G3 Sham Stakes at Santa Anita. The $175k Keeneland sales grad figures to show speed and a few others might join him on the front end. The underlaid contender is worth trying to beat on the win end.

#8 Reckless Jerry (9-2) was hung out to dry from post 12 in the local Smarty Jones Stakes on Jan 16. He raced five wide throughout and missed by a neck to ground saving winner #6 Junebugred (7-2). He can turn the tables on that rival with a better trip.

Junebugred

Junebugred shoots for hat trick on Monday - photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Junebugred fired a local bullet since his last and should sit another decent tactical trip under Bravo. A hat trick is within reach.

#2 Unbridled’s Note (10-1) looked good in his winning Churchill sprint bow last October and the show finisher came back to tally. This is an ambitious placement off the bench. Leparoux and Asmussen teamed up to win Saturday’s G3 El Camino Real Derby with Daddy Nose Best.

#9 Ring It Up (20-1) was clearly second best behind Southwest Stakes division two contender Cyber Secret in a local Optional Claiming route Feb 4. He prefers two turns and should be finishing at square odds.

#11 Castaway (5-1) exits a wet fast wire job at Santa Anita. The Baffert trainee meets other quality speed and will take too much action under Bejarano.

#3 Jake Mo (15-1) finished 4th in the Smarty Jones and seems up against it from a pace perspective. He has lost four straight and his trainer is 0-for-11 in the graded ranks.

#4 Majestic Stride (8-1) adds fuel to the pace fire. I respect trainer Jeff Bonde but this is a tough spot to tackle winners for the first time.

#10 Laurie’s Rocket (12-1) dueled and weakened to 5th in the Smarty Jones. Borel hops aboard but he has done the bulk of his damage in sprints.

#7 No Spin (30-1) was 10th in the Smarty Jones. He removes the hood in hopes of a better result but the Tim Ice runner seems to prefer turf or synthetic.

#1 Red Jack (30-1) meets other speed and figures to fade from the rail for Wayne Lukas.

The Plays:

$24 to win #8

$4 to win #9

$3 Exacta 8-9

.50 cent Trifecta 6-8/ALL/9 ($9)