Posts Tagged ‘Revolutionary horse’

Stephen Foster 2014 Video Analysis – Revolutionary vs. Departing

My video race of the week for Saturday, June 14 is the Grade 1 Stephen Foster from Churchill Downs.

Revolutionary, my 2013 Derby-Belmont top, is the 2-1 morning line favorite. He will try to get involved late but there is not a ton of pace in the paper race.

Will Take Charge is the 5-2 second choice. He started to show fatigue in his erratic Oaklawn Handicap stretch run and threw in a clunker last time in the Alysheba at Churchill Downs. I will try to beat him until he shows some oomph.

Departing, at 9-2 on the line, was my Preakness pick last year. He returned with a solid score under the Twin Spires and might be ready to rejoin the stakes ranks.

My Stephen Foster night 2014 full card is available to purchase for $10 at:

The Runaway Horse

Today’s Racing Digest

 

Stylish Return for Revolutionary

It was worth the wait. Revolutionary rumbled past Fallen Sky in a geared down 1/2 length tally at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, Jan. 11.

Revolutionary saddle cloth Kentucky Derby 2013

Photo by Stacy Edwards

Returning at a distance clearly shorter than his best off a 7+ month layoff and prepping for the G1 Donn ‘Cap, Revolutionary was comfortably ambling along and racing outside, about 4-lengths off the lead after a 1/4 mile. He crept a bit closer after a 1/2 in :46 and change and six panels in 1:09.84. He was just stretching his legs with two furlongs to go.

I was not sure he was going to get there turning for home, but he looked every bit a winner once Castellano got after him in the lane. It was a perfect prep for the Donn and Pletcher and company should be very pleased with the WinStar Farm colt. He should relish the nine furlong distance next time.

Hopefully, I will get to watch my Derby buddy race in Louisville later this year. I would like to see more attractive odds than the 1-5 offered on Saturday, but fair value might be hard to come by if he continues to win races with ease.

The company will get saltier in the near future but the talented son of War Pass should be up to the challenge. He could be any kind of performer if he stays healthy and the Handicap Division just got a lot more interesting!

Good Luck, Revolutionary!

My Kentucky Derby 2013 selection Revolutionary returns to action in the second race at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, Jan. 11. He will break from post 1 as the 7-5 morning line favorite in the flat mile optional claiming affair. Saturday’s rider Javier Castellano has booted him home twice.

Revolutionary

Jarrod and Revolutionary at WinStar Farm – photo by Stacy Edwards

Revolutionary lost his first three career starts as the favorite before springing to life with a maiden win and a visually impressive tally in the G3 Withers on the inner dirt at Aqueduct last winter. He punched his Kentucky Derby ticket with a late running tally in the G2 Louisiana Derby and rallied for the show five weeks later on the first Saturday in May. The Todd Pletcher trainee figured to have a big say in the G1 Belmont Stakes but was shelved after a flat 5th place effort.

I visited Revolutionary at WinStar Farm in the fall and he looked the picture of health. He shipped to Florida this winter, shows eight published workouts at Palm Meadows Training Center since Nov. 19, and appears primed for a large 4-year-old campaign.

Hopefully, he returns a more mature horse, and, if all goes well tomorrow, he will move on to the G1 Donn Handicap on Feb. 9.

Some other horses that I saw during my WinStar visit have also returned to the worktab recently, including Queenie’s Song (3f turf in :40.05 at Palm Meadows on 1-8), Flirtatious (3f bullet in :36 at Fair Grounds on 1-6), Normandy Invasion (4f in :50 at Palm Meadows on 1-5), and Alakazan Alakazan (4f gate bullet in :47.40 at Palm Meadows on 1-4). I will continue to follow the horses that I saw at WinStar and post updates as the make it to the entry box.

WinStar Farm Visit (Part III): Behind the Scenes

Now that the 2013 Breeders’ Cup is in the books, it is time to finish up my WinStar Farm blog series. In Part I, I took a look at the stallions, and Part II was all about the Training Barn. In this edition, I will take a behind the scenes look at the WinStar training and rehab center.

WinStar FarmWinStar Farm has a state of the art training track and rehab center, and I am looking forward to seeing the Training Barn residents compete this winter and beyond.

outdoor poolWinStar offers much more than a training track for equine residents. If your horse needs some swimming therapy, try the large outdoor pool (right), or the indoor aqua tread (below right).

Does your horse need oxygen? No problem. Check out the hyperbaric chamber (below left).

hyperbaric chamberEstablishes horses like Normandy Invasion and Revolutionary should both be revitalized and full of energy when they return to the racing wars in the near future. I hope to see them both competing at a very high level in Florida this winter.

In the weeks and months to come, I will follow the progress of young, lightly raced, and unraced horses currently residing at WinStar Farm, including but not limited to Amazing Shoes (Empire Maker – Isabell’s Shoes, by King of Kings), Clark Kent (Unbridled’s Song – Ideal Image, by Hennessy), Flirtatious (Hard Spun – Christina’s World, by Unbridled’s Song), Holy Soldier (Colonel John – Dance Swiftly, by Danzig), Queenie’s Song (Unbridled’s Song – Queen of Money, by Corporate Report), Race Day (Tapit – Rebalite, by More Than Ready), Sweet Dreamer (Tiznow – Dream of Summer, by Siberian Summer), and The Trunk Monkey (Old Fashioned – Susquehanna River, by Trippi).

aqua treadThese refreshed horses and others could end up offering decent value when they make it to the track. Stay tuned!

Thank you to WinStar for allowing us to visit and for taking us behind the scenes. If you would like to learn more about the WinStar StableMates program, check out their website.

If you would like to see more of Stacy’s WinStar and other horse racing pictures, please visit her Kentucky horse racing photos page, The Runaway Horse.

WinStar Farm Visit (Part II): The Training Barn

We recently visited WinStar Farm in Versailles, KY. This is my second in a 3-part blog series. In this edition, I will look at the Training Barn.

In addition to housing top class stallions, WinStar has a great training center and rehab facility.

In Part 1 of this blog series, I talked about seeing my losing Derby selections Colonel John and Pioneerof The Nile in the Stallion Barn. After visiting the studs, we hopped over to the Training Barn, and the first horse I see is my losing Kentucky Derby 2013 pick Revolutionary. C’mon WinStar, you’re torturing me!

Revolutionary

Jarrod & Revolutionary discuss the Derby

Revolutionary actually ran a fine race to land the show in the Derby. He skipped the Preakness and appeared loaded for bear in the Belmont Stakes but finished a flat 5th and has been at WinStar since.  He has a ton of raw ability and could have a big 4-year-old campaign for Todd Pletcher.

Normandy Invasion

Normandy Invasion- Photos by Stacy Edwards

Another Kentucky Derby 2013 participant, Normandy Invasion, is also rehabbing at WinStar. He checked in right behind Revolutionary on the first Saturday in May and has not raced since.  He will likely rejoin the Chad Brown barn in Florida this winter.

The Training Barn was also full of promising juveniles, including Holy Soldier (Colonel John – Dance Swiftly, by Danzig), Race Day (Tapit – Rebalite, by More Than Ready), and The Trunk Monkey (Old Fashioned – Susquehanna River, by Trippi).

WinStar Farm

Unraced 2-year-old filly Sweet Dreamer (Tiznow – Dream of Summer, by Siberian Summer) is worth following. She is bred to be a good one.

Graham Motion has Queenie’s Song (Unbridled’s Song – Queen of Money, by Corporate Report) at WinStar. The promising juvenile filly graduated in her Aug. 21 Presque Isle debut and finished 2nd in a Keeneland allowance race Oct. 9.

In the coming weeks and months, I will be following the progress of the horses I saw at the WinStar Training Barn right here on the blog. – stay tuned!

Thank you to WinStar for allowing us to visit and for taking us behind the scenes. If you would like to learn more about the WinStar StableMates program, check out their website.

If you would like to see more of Stacy’s WinStar photos, please visit her Kentucky horse racing photos page, The Runaway Horse.

In Part III of this series, I will take a behind the scenes look at the WinStar training and rehab center.

Preakness 2013 Recap – Oxbow steals show

Congratulations to Preakness 2013 hero Oxbow. Nobody wanted the early lead and Gary Stevens was more than happy to canter around the track and win this second jewel of the Triple Crown.

Oxbow wires field in Preakness 2013 – photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Oxbow, owned by Calumet Farm, is a war horse for throwback connections Wayne Lukas and Gary Stevens. The Preakness Stakes was his 11th lifetime start and there is no rest in sight with the Test of Champions squarely on his radar screen.

Did Lukas scare everyone from a pace perspective? He entered sprinter Titletown Five and possibly fooled jockey Kevin Krigger aboard Goldencents.

Titletown Five did not go for the lead under Leaproux, and Goldencents failed to take advantage so Stevens and Oxbow walked the dog from start to finish.

I knew that Oxbow was best on the lead but did not think he was quick enough to get there. The pace figured to be slower than the Derby but I did not see the crawling Preakness pace coming.

Runner-up Itsmyluckyday was making his 12th career start in Baltimore so chalk another one up for experience. He got the best of the draw as an outside stalker and rediscovered his sharp Florida form.

Mylute picked up another minor check in stakes race. He was the only one making up any ground and the Preakness was his fifth place/show finish in the stakes ranks.

Kentucky Derby winner Orb seemed to be living a charmed life until he drew the dead rail. The outside closer never looked comfortable and went through the motions in a flat 4th place finish.

Granted, before the Preakness, Orb handled wet/fast footing and various pace scenarios but the Derby fell into the lap of a closer and everything went perfectly for Shug and company on the first Saturday in May.

Goldencents had one shot and that was to attempt a wire job but was ridden passively. He is a quality early runner with distance limitations and his best weapon was taken away at Pimlico.

Departing sat right outside of Orb and made a top three bid along the inside turning for home. He flattened out to finish 6th and was not disgraced in his toughest test to date.

Will Take Charge, Govenor Charlie, and Titletown Five trailed.

It is on the Belmont Stakes in 20-days and my top ranked sophomore Revolutionary looms large in the Test of Champions.

Belmont Stakes 2013 logo

Early Belmont Stakes 2013 Hopefuls (in alphabetical order):

Code West (Lemon Drop Kid) – Baffert’s runner followed up a place finish in the Risen Star with a 6th in the LA Derby. He finished 2nd on the Derby undercard and beat older allowance rivals to cap the Preakness Day card.

Freedom Child (Malibu Moon): Freaked in the muddy Peter Pan Stakes and looms a pace factor at the very least in the Test of Champions. Split Orb and Revolutionary in a maiden race at the Big A last November.

Golden Soul (Perfect Soul) – LA Derby 4th place finisher took advantage of a pace meltdown to land the place in the Kentucky Derby. Dallas Stewart’s late runner is scheduled to work at Churchill next Wed. or Thurs.

Itsmyluckyday (Lawyer Ron) – Florida Derby runner-up flopped in the Derby and rebounded with a place finish in the Preakness. The Monmouth Park based colt is targeting the Haskell this summer but is still possible for the Belmont Stakes.

Micromanage (Medaglia d’Oro) – Finished 10th in the G2 Remsen to end his juvenile campaign. Returned with a game neck victory (wide trip) vs. allowance rivals at Monmouth May 11 and could go next in the Belmont Stakes.

Orb (Malibu Moon) – Everything went right in the Kentucky Derby but the wheels came off the cart in the Preakness, ending his 5-race winning streak. He may try to rebound in the Belmont Stakes but there is talk of resting him and waiting for Saratoga.

Overanalyze (Dixie Union) – G2 Remsen hero finished a wide, flat 5th from post 11 in his needed Gotham return. He bounced back nicely to win the Arkansas Derby and ended up 11th in the Kentucky Derby. Breezed 4f in :47.50 (3/34) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on 5-19.

Oxbow (Awesome Again) – Finished a solid 6th in the Derby after attending fast fractions from an inner post under Gary Stevens. Lukas trainee snuck away early and stole the Preakness for Stevens. He shows up for every dance so expect him to complete in the final leg of the Triple Crown series.

Palace Malice (Curlin): Risen Star show finisher ended up a troubled 7th in the LA Derby and rebounded with a 2nd in the Blue Grass. He set fast splits (blinkers on) before fading to 12th in the Kentucky Derby and is now targeting the Belmont. He breezed 4f in :47.49 (2/34) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on 5-19.

Power Broker (Pulpit) – $360k purchase graduated in style vs. graded foes in FrontRunner and raced wide and never got a chance to run his race in BC Juvenile. Baffert trainee finished 5th in his SA Derby return and won an allowance race at Churchill on May 10. The Belmont Stakes is a possibility.

Revolutionary (War Pass) – He has been my top ranked 3yo since February and my confidence has not wavered following a solid show finish in the Derby. I thought the Belmont Stakes was perfect for him after his smart Withers score earlier this year and he is bred to run all day on the dam side. He will work twice for the Belmont beginning Sunday, May 26.

Unlimited Budget (Street Sense) – 3-time graded winner lost for the first time after landing the show in the Kentucky Oaks. The Pletcher/Repole filly breezed 4f in :49.07 (14/34) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on 5-19.

Preakness 2013 Contenders – Will Orb capture second jewel?

Congratulations to Kentucky Derby 2013 hero Orb, and it was nice to see Shug McGaughey saddle his first Derby winner as well. He looks like a runaway locomotive at this point and might be too hot to handle in Preakness 2013.

Kentucky Derby 2013 winner Orb

Congrats to Kentucky Derby 2013 winner Orb – photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Orb was one of my Exciting Prospects when I posted my first Derby Top 10 list last September. He lacked maturity in his first three outings but has really put everything together since. The Derby was his fifth straight win and he goes to Baltimore on a serious roll. He received a great pace setup in the Derby and it could be more of the same in the Preakness with the likes of Titletown Five and Goldencents on the engine early.

Speaking of rolls, jockey Joel Rosario has been unstoppable since winning the Dubai World Cup. Orb is currently preparing for the second jewel at Belmont Park and will ship to Pimlico early next week.

It is fun to talk about Orb’s Triple Crown chances but let’s not get ahead of ourselves. History is not on his side but he does possess all of the tools to give it a serious run. The son of Malibu Moon wheels back quickly on May 18 and it should be noted that he graduated off two weeks rest last year. I also saw a stat on TVG earlier this week about Shug McGaughey clicking at a 50% rate (6-for-12) when he brings horses back in 14-days. New shooter Departing might be his biggest competition.

Look out if Orb makes it past the Preakness but he will still have to beat fresh, talented rival Revolutionary at Big Sandy. That’s a discussion for another day.

Derby runner-up Golden Soul is pointing to the Belmont Stakes. He finished 2nd in the Derby because of the pace and will be an underlay in the Test of Champions.

My Derby selection Revolutionary, the top ranked contender on my Derby list since February, ran well to land the show on the first Saturday in May. I have not lost faith and he reminds me of my past Derby/Belmont picks Empire Maker and Union Rags.

Oxbow was too close to the rapid Derby pace and Normandy Invasion moved too soon. Both are players in Baltimore, especially the latter if Chad Brown opts to go in that direction.

Mylute took advantage of the fleet fractions and was in the show photo (finished 5th). If he runs in the Preakness, note that jockey Rosie Napravnik has plenty of Pimlico experience.

Will Take Charge was making a move with Orb in the Derby but Verrazano was backing up and stopped his momentum. The Derby was his first start beyond a mile and a sixteenth and he was coming off a layoff so it was not a bad effort finishing 8th.

Goldencents seemingly hated the Derby slop and will be part of the Preakness pace, especially if the track is fast.

Click on the names of each horse below (Top 5 contenders) to view their Horse Racing Nation profile page, which includes pedigree information, results, and video.

Jarrod Horak’s Preakness 2013 Contenders

Orb (Malibu Moon) – Won his fifth straight race for Shug McGaughey in the G1 Kentucky Derby (wet track) and the strong finisher adapts to various pace scenarios. Red hot jockey Joel Rosario has been on a roll since the Dubai Gold Cup and he is an obvious major stretch player in Baltimore.

Departing (War Front) – Finished 3rd in the productive Louisiana Derby and overcame a wide draw to smartly take down the Illinois Derby. The Al Stall Jr. runner is a dangerous new shooter and it is nice to see him join the Triple Crown series.

Normandy Invasion (Tapit) – Chad Brown’s colt trained aggressively and moved too soon under Javier Castellano in the Derby. He needs to sit back with Orb and make a big late run in the Preakness. He is reportedly much more relaxed since returning to New York. His ultimate goal is the G1 Travers at the Spa in August.

Mylute (Midnight Lute) – LA Derby runner-up rallied to finish 5th on the first Saturday in May under Rosie Napravnik. Trainer Tom Amoss said that his Preakness status would be revealed on Saturday morning.

Oxbow horse

Oxbow was too close to the hot Derby pace – photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Oxbow (Awesome Again) – G3 Lecomte hero shows up for every dance and finished a solid 6th in the Derby after attending fast fractions from an inner post under Gary Stevens. Lukas trainee can rate but went all the way in both career wins. His main problem is that he is usually not quick enough to grab the early lead.

Will Take Charge (Unbridled’s Song) – Smarty Jones/Rebel winner finished a respectable 8th in the Derby. He did find some traffic but that is to be expected in a 19-horse field. Mike Smith will ride in the Preakness and he could improve 2nd off the shelf.

Itsmyluckyday (Lawyer Ron) – Eddie Plesa Jr.’s colt was the talk of Florida earlier this year at the Gulf. The Holy Bull hero played second fiddle to Orb in the Florida Derby and finished a disappointing 15th on the first Saturday in May. John Velazquez will ride in the Preakness.

Preakness Dreamers:

Goldencents (Into Mischief) – Doug O’Neill’s quality early-pressing type seemingly hated the Derby wet track and the pace scenario did not help either. He earned a strong number in the SA Derby and is capable of big efforts on fast ground under the proper race shape.

Govenor Charlie (Midnight Lute) – Smartly captured G3 Sunland Derby in his third career start. The Baffert trainee has plenty of upside but still lacks seasoning. He wisely passed on the Derby and has seemingly recovered from a minor hind foot issue. Worked 6f in 1:11.80 (1/3) at Churchill Downs on 5-7.

Street Spice (Street Sense) – Illinois Derby 5th place finisher seems up against it in the Preakness. He likely needs to find a softer spot to be competitive. Breezed 5f from the gate in 1:03.40 (27/33) at Arlington Park on 5-4.

Titletown Five (Tiznow) – Has lost all three starts this year and looks like a sprinter at this point. He will attend the Preakness pace before fading. Breezed 4f in :47.60 (5/35) at Churchill Downs on 5-7.

Vyjack (Into Mischief) – 18th place Derby finisher has now dropped two straight. He came out of the Wood Memorial with a lung infection and that hiccup probably cost him under the Twin Spires. He has talent but is not sharp right now.