Posts Tagged ‘Pick 6 Tickets’

How to bet Sunday’s Del Mar Pick 6 on a budget

By Jarrod Horak, winninghorsepicks.com (@jchorak)

Sunday is closing day of the fall meet at Del Mar, and the Pick 6 has a mandatory payout. There is also a Single Ticket Jackpot Carryover of $104,118.

Del Mar

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

I will use one of my favorite cost-effective Pick 6 wagering strategies, the spread ticket formula. In the spread tickets below, I have separated my primary and secondary win contenders to keep the cost down. It would cost $720 to lump all of my contenders on one ticket, but the spread ticket formula knocks the price down to a much more reasonable $176.

Pick 6 Contenders for Sunday

Race 4 (OC-20k/1x, CA-bred, 6.5f) 
Primary – #6 Gemini Journey, #7 Haviture Way
Secondary – #3 Desert Madam, #2 Gotham Desire

Saratoga Race Course Free Play + Pick 6 Tickets – August 17

Each Saturday from Saratoga Race Course, I will post a free play of the day, along with suggested Pick 6 tickets.

Saratoga Race Course Free Play for Saturday, August 17

SAR 1 (Clm-20k, 5.5T) #3 DISSENSION (4-1) overcame trouble to beat similar course/distance rivals July 28 and Gary Gullo is good (25%) with his recent claiming winners attempting a repeat. #6 Ideal Place (3-1) won her Maiden Claiming turf sprint bow before fading to last vs. state bred stakes sprinters on the lawn second time out. Chas Brown excels with 46-90 day layoff runners and she reunites with winning pilot Javier Castellano. #8 Tapit to Me (8-1) has fired Trifecta shots in 5 of 7 turf starts at 7.5f or shorter including her last three outings. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Exacta Box 3-6, Trifecta 3-6/ALL/8

I am offering full card analysis from Saratoga Race Course each Saturday on my Today’s Racing Digest Handicapper page. I also posted my August 10 analysis from Saratoga at the bottom of this post, along with full card highlights.

Saratoga Race Course

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Saratoga Race Course Pick 6 Tickets for Saturday, August 17

Ticketmaker 1

Ticketmaker 2

Check out my Saturday (August 17) Saratoga full card analysis (available now) at TodaysRacingDigest.com. For bonus free pick (SAR 12th race), click view sample.

Upcoming full cards:
Saratoga Race Course (Sat. August 17) – available now!

Saratoga Saturdays (Aug. 24, 31)
Belmont Park: Jockey Club Gold Cup Day (Saturday, Sept. 28)
Keeneland: Fall Stars Saturday (Saturday, October 5)
Breeders’ Cup from Santa Anita (Friday, Nov. 1 & Sat., Nov. 2)

Saratoga full card analysis for Saturday (8-10-13)
By Jarrod Horak (horseracingnation.com, pick6blog.com)
Weather
: Mostly Sunny. High 80.  Best Bets (races 5, 9, 11)

Highlights:

SAR 3 Where’s Danny ($6.60)
SAR 4 Neat Package ($13.80)
Double (races 3-4, $46)
SAR 6 In Trouble ($17.20), Exacta ($49.40)
SAR 9 Summer of Fun (best bet #2, $5.50)
Double (races 9-10, $8.10)
SAR 11 North Star Boy (best bet #3, $10.80), Exacta ($31.60)
Double (races 10-11, $17.60)
Pick 3 (9-11, $46.60)

SAR 1 (Alw-1x, 7f) #1 MAKE YOUR MOVE (6-1) appears best in these longer sprints. He turns back after a failed G2 Dwyer run and won at this distance May 30. I like the rider switch to Lezcano and a ground saving tactical trip is expected. #2 Tug of War (6-1) is a 2-time local winner now under the care of Penna. The returnee is firing local training track bullets for this. #3 Ithastobegeorge (2-1) rallied to finish 2nd from post 11 in a fast race at this course/distance July 19. I like his running style versatility and Castellano strings along for low profile trainer Morley. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Exacta 1/2-3, Exacta 2-3/1

SAR 2 (OC-62.5k/2x, 6f) #5 EXPRESSION (3-1) hails from the profitable C. Baker barn and she has fired Trifecta shots in 10 of 11 starts at this trip. #3 Greed and Fear (5-2) was nabbed out of her last by claiming artist Maker and Rosario hops aboard the fresh, versatile threat. She landed the place in her lone local try. THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Quinella 3-5  

SAR 3 (Clm-20k, 6f) #6 WHERE’S DANNY (3-1) fired in both U.S. starts for Kenneally and graduated in his first dirt try under today’s pilot Rosario at 5.5f (off the turf) here July 24. He will try to get involved late and could easily be this good. #5 The Sixties (2-1) cruised off the Maker claim at Churchill June 27 and he is back at his $20k claimed price today. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta Box 5-6

SAR 4 (MSW, 8.5T) #1 NEAT PACKAGE (5-1) looks interesting from the hedge for Sheppard. The daughter of Big Brown handled turf at Tampa Bay second time out and Rosario ends up here. She sports two local turf moves and should offer value. #2 Can’t Catch Kate (3-1) rallied in her turf route bow and attended the pace before fading as the favorite at 9f second time out. She is probably best as a late runner and Brown excels with 90+ day layoff runners. #3 Weave (8-1) debuts in a turf route for Motion and dam has tossed three grass winners. The daughter of Arch is bred to run all day and is firing Fair Hill bullets for this. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Quinella 1/2-3

SAR 5 (Clm-35k, 8f inner turf) #6 LOGAN STREET (9-2) split two next out winners at Belmont May 18 and has been freshened by profitable turf trainer Lisa Lewis. He graduated at this distance earlier this year and should be finishing under Solis. #1 Flowing Mane (7-2) was nabbed out of his last by claiming artist Maker and barn $$ rider Rosario takes the call. He exits back-to-back solid turf efforts and figures in the hunt throughout from the hedge. #4 Smoke Town (6-1) exits a place finish over the local weeds and climbs above his $20k claimed price. Linda Rice excels 2nd off the claim and blinkers off. THE PLAYS #6 to win, Exacta 6/1-4, Exacta 1-4/6

SAR 6 (MSW, 5.5f) #7 IN TROUBLE (8-1) is a $120k purchase for quality trainer Tony Dutrow and sire Tiz Wonderful is 22% with first time starters. #5 Sound of Freedom (2-1) is a $365k son of War Front and he could easily hit the ground running for the recently hot Johnny V/Pletcher team. His Aug. 4 gate drill at 4f here looks solid. #6 Mosler (4-1) is a million dollar War Front baby with a local gate bullet and Rosario in the irons. Mott usually gives his horses a race. THE PLAYS: #7 to win, Exacta 7/5-6, Exacta 5-6/7

SAR 7 (OC-14k/1x, 7f) #7 SOUL HOUSE (7-5) could have cleared this level as my top with a better trip here July 20. Castellano knows him now and profitable trainer Weaver can pick up another Saratoga win with this late runner. #5 Ambassador Bridge (3-1) hails from a cold barn but ran well at this trip last time, attracts Rosario, and has won here before. He won two straight earlier this year and might be returning to that form. THE PLAYS: Exacta Box 7-5, Trifecta 7/ALL/5

SAR 8 (Alw-1x, 8f inner turf) #2 VALID (5-1) tries turf for McLaughlin and Saez is 2-for-6 with this outfit recently. Barn excels first time lasix. #3 Ghost Hunter (5-1) is now under the care of Mott and flashed talent on dirt and synthetic earlier this year. #5 Abraham (3-1) dons the hood, reunites with winning pilot Johnny V, and owns decent enough turf breeding. He owns running style versatility and figures right there if he handles the weeds. #7 Leadem in Ken (5-2) showed marked improvement when switched to turf at Churchill in June for Maker. The fresh 3yo colt sports a local bullet for this and Castellano hops aboard. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta Box 2-3, Exacta 2-3/5-7

SAR 9 (Autie Mame, 8.5T) #8 SUMMER OF FUN (7-2) is fresh and dangerous for sharp trainer Weaver. The classy filly always fires on firm turf and graduated over the local weeds. #9 Barbie Wire (6-1) exits back-to-back wins under today’s pilot Castellano. She handles turf/dirt and Chad Brown excels with this type of layoff runner. #4 Bella Castani (8-1) got the wrong pace setup at 7f vs. this kind July 7. Lezcano rides her well and today’s added real estate won’t hurt. #2 Praia (4-1) always fires on turf for McPeek and she packs a nice late kick. THE PLAYS: #8 to win, Exacta 8/2-4-9, Exacta 2-4-9/8

SAR 10 (G2 Fourstardave, 8f inner turf) #7 LEA (5-1) is 3-for-4 with a close 2nd on firm turf and 0-for-2 on less than firm. He gave Wise Dan a scare in the Firecracker and Rosario is 2-for-2 with him (Saratoga inner turf). I like his outside draw and he could be sitting on a top effort 3rd off the shelf. Stall is on a roll here. #1 Wise Dan (3-5) is a classy win machine for LoPresti. Johnny V rides him well and reached deep inside his bag of tricks to get the job done in the Firecracker last out. He won this last year and is an obvious threat again but his 2013 numbers suggest that he is not as good this season.  THE PLAYS: #7 to win, Exacta 7-1

SAR 11 (OC-35k, 8.5T) #4 NORTH STAR BOY (5-1) earned a strong Late Pace Rating and just missed in his U.S. bow at Belmont June 15. He hails from a profitable, low profile outfit and Castellano takes the call. #8 Adirondack Dancer (5-2) exits a romping Belmont turf win and the runner-up returned to score. Linda Rice is struggling here. #7 Third Knight (6-1) may have bounced last time. Dam has tossed three turf winners and he could rebound 3rd off the shelf. #6 Unbridled Logic (12-1) landed the place in both turf starts and Rosario ends up here. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Exacta 4/6-7-8, Exacta 6-7-8/4

Double/Pick 3/Pick 4 contenders – in order of preference

Race

1   (1-2-3)
2   (5-3)
3   (6-5)
4   (1-2-3)
5   (6-1-4)
6   (7-5-6)
7   (7-5)
8   (2-3-5-7)
9   (8-9-4-2)
10 (7-1)
11 (4-8-7-6)

Saratoga Race Course Free Play + Pick 6 Tickets – August 10

I am offering full card analysis from Saratoga Race Course each Saturday on my Today’s Racing Digest Handicapper page. For the August 10 program, I have posted a free play below, along with suggested Pick 6 tickets.

I also posted my August 3 full card from Saratoga at the bottom of this post.

Check out my Saturday (August 10) Saratoga full card analysis (available now) at TodaysRacingDigest.com. For bonus free pick (SAR 11th race), click view sample. P6 spread tickets included with Saratoga analysis.

Upcoming full cards:
Saratoga Race Course (Sat. August 10) – available now!
Saratoga Saturdays (Aug. 17, 24, 31)

Saratoga Race Course

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Saratoga Race Course Free Play for Saturday, August 10

SAR 2 (OC-62.5k/2x, 6f) #5 EXPRESSION (3-1) hails from the profitable C. Baker barn and she has fired Trifecta shots in 10 of 11 starts at this trip. #3 Greed and Fear (5-2) was nabbed out of her last by claiming artist Maker and Rosario hops aboard the fresh, versatile threat. She landed the place in her lone local try. THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Quinella 3-5  

Saratoga Race Course Pick 6 Tickets for Saturday, August 10

del mar p6 capture


Saratoga full card analysis for Saturday (8-3-13)
By Jarrod Horak (horseracingnation.com, pick6blog.com)
Weather
: Partly Cloudy. High 80.  Best Bets (races 4, 6, 8)

Highlights:

SAR 1 Slan Abhaile ($8.10), Exacta w/Gombey Dancer ($41.60)
SAR 3 Diamond Maker ($3.50)
Daily Double (race 3-4, $19.60)
SAR 7 Dunkin Bend ($4.30)
SAR 8 Tetradrachm (best bet #3, $6.70), Exacta w/Set the Sail ($20.80)
Daily Double (race 7-8, $12.40)
Pick 3 (6-8, $81)
SAR 11 Wild Grace/White Crane/Desert Bliss TRIFECTA ($1,061)
SAR 12 Trainingfgorsuccess/St Sincere/Fiddlers Chico TRIFECTA ($108)

SAR 1 (Alw-2L, 6.5f) #4 SLAN ABHAILE (7-2) caught good turf/muddy dirt in his last pair. Rosario sticks and the Romans runner appears best on a fast track. He sports a solid local drill for this and owns fine early-pressing speed. #1 Googleado (2-1) has lost all four U.S. starts including 6th place finish here July 19. Today’s shorter trip helps and he’s an inside pace player. #6 Gombey Dancer (4-1) may not have cared for wet footing last time. He moves to the Tony Dutrow barn and ran well in his local debut last summer. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Exacta 4/1-6, Exacta 1-6/4

SAR 2 (MSW, 6f) #5 TIZ FOR TAT (5-2) was clearly second best to John Shirreffs speedster Mentor Cane as my top at Belmont Park off a layoff July 6. #7 Mr. O’Leary (3-1) finished a solid 3rd in his full field bow at Belmont and the winner came back to score again. The $160k Keeneland sales grad is an outside pace player under Joel Rosario. #4 Arriving (10-1) is out of decent debut sire Harlan’s Holiday and dam has tossed six winners from as many starters. Al Stall Jr. can strike with a first time starter. THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Quinella 5/4-7

SAR 3 (Mcl-20k, 7f) #1 NODEBTDANNY (2-1) has caught wet tracks and less than firm turf in 4 of her 6 career starts. She was beaten a neck in her local fast track sprint bow and the 1-2 finishers from her last both came back to score. #1a Diamond Maker (2-1) exits an off the turf place finish vs. this kind at Belmont and adds strength to the entry. #7 High Inflation (7-2) turns back and switches surfaces. The 10-time loser handles dirt and looms a wire job threat in a race that came up light on pace. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Exacta Box 1-7

SAR 4 (Clm-20k, 8.5f inner turf) #2 FORMULAFORSUCCESS (4-1) was farther back than usual and rallied for 3rd in a fast-paced turf route June 2, and the place finisher came back to score. Rosario knows him now and Maker saddled three winners here yesterday. #8 Quantity (7-2) drops to a new low for the recently hot Castellano/Brown team. #3 Sam’s Buck (12-1) scored twice here last year and Weaver is sending out local live wires. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Quinella 2/3-8

SAR 5 (MSW, 8.5T) #7 DONE SMOKING (4-1) raced wide from an outer post and finished 4th in her turf sprint bow June 30. She is bred to route on the female side (Green Dancer) and dam has tossed two turf winners. Christophe Clement excels first route and Jose Lezcano is a sharp grass rider. #1 Raven Rise (5-1) finished a close-up, wide 4th from an outer post in her first try on turf July 7. She will break from the hedge today and should be all set for her best in her third start off the shelf. #6 Chrissy Girl and #3 Eddy’s Time (7-2) finished 2-3 in the same race Raven Rise exits. THE PLAYS: #7 to win, Exacta Box 1-7, Exacta 1-7/3-6   

SAR 6 (OC-20k/1x, 8.5f inner turf) #4 ARCHER HILL (6-1) won his debut over the local weeds and has not scored in five starts since. He dons the hood after a respectable show finish at Belmont July 3 and should offer value for profitable turf trainer Lisa Lewis. #12 With Exultation (5-1) gets pace to chase and will try to get involved late under Rocco. #2 Sunlover (8-1) looks better sprinting but gets Rosario and can improve 2nd off the shelf. #6 Gimme Credit (7-2) is a 10yo veteran with five Exacta finishes from ten local turf tries. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Exacta Box 4-12, Exacta 4-12/2-6  

SAR 7 (MSW, 6f) #3 DUNKIN BEND (5-2) should win this for sharp second time out trainer Steve Asmussen. He dueled and was second best in his Churchill Downs debut and show finisher Base Case Scenario came back to score here. #4 King Cyrus (3-1) is a $70k son of Bellamy Road debuting for Pletcher. AE #9 Chisholm (2-1) is also trained by Pletcher, and he is a $400k purchase. THE PLAYS: #3 to win, Exacta 3/4-9

SAR 8 (OC-100k/3x, 8.5f inner turf) #4 TETRADRACHM (3-1) is now under the care of Bill Mott. He has fired Exacta shots in 6 of his last 7 and Johnny V is a profitable 3-for-12 with this outfit recently. I like his running style versatility. #1 Set the Sail (7-2) hails from the profitable LoPresti barn. He captured 2 of his last 3 and was less than a length behind my top last November. #6 Joes Blazing Aaron (5-1) has a shot to wire these under Rosario. #7 Admiral Perry (4-1) has landed the place in 3 of his last 4. Shug is enjoying success here and Lezcano is a sharp turf rider. THE PLAYS: #4 to win, Exacta 4/1-6-7, Exacta 1-6-7/4

SAR 9 (De La Rose, 8f inner turf) #2 SWEET LITTLE LION (6-1) loves this distance and Bill Mott has her now. The early-pressing type gets the services of Joel Rosario. #3 Laugh Out Loud (5-2) gets serious class relief after testing the big girls in the G1 Just a Game. The overseas transplant gets treated with lasix for new trainer Chad Brown. #6 Ruthenia (3-1) has been 1-2-3 in 10 of 16 turf starts. Lezcano clicks with Clement and she should be finishing. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta Box 2-3, Trifecta 2-3/2-3-6/2-3-6 

SAR 10 (G1 Whitney, 9f) #6 ALPHA (10-1) is 3-for-3 at Saratoga and fired a local bullet July 27. He is probably getting close to returning to top form after spending the winter in Dubai and Joel Rosario ends up here. #1 Successful Dan (12-1) threw in a rare clunker in the G1 Stephen Foster. He was a classy gem of consistency prior to his last and is reportedly training well for this. Leparoux has options with the versatile sort. #5 Ron the Greek (6-1) gets pace to chase in the paper race and was 2nd to Fort Larned in the 2012 Whitney. #3 Fort Larned (7-5) was sensational in G1 Foster and is back on top of his game. He smartly won this last year and could sit a similar stalking trip with the likes of #4 Cross Traffic (7-2) in the lineup. The latter has speed and raw talent for Pletcher but has yet to race beyond a one turn mile. #2 Mucho Macho Man (6-1) can hang with these on his best day but has not been his usual stellar self in two outings this year. #8 Fast Falcon (15-1) remains eligible for an entry level spot but has enough talent to land a minor award. #7 Csaba (20-1) is a Grade 3 type. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Trifecta 1-5-6/1-3-5-6/1-3-5-6, Trifecta 3/ALL/6

SAR 11 (Alw-1x, 5.5T) #1 MY UPTOWN GAL (5-1) missed by a nose in a similar local turf sprint off a layoff July 19. She enjoys sprinting on turf and new pilot Luis Saez excels with early-pressing types. #11 Wild Grace (3-1) graduated in a turf sprint at Belmont for Chad Brown last time. She projects an outside stalking trip for quality connections and could easily make it two straight. #4 Desert Bliss (8-1) is not big on winning but can chug along for a share for profitable layoff trainer Englehart. She attracts fine turf rider Lezcano and has finished 2-3 in 9 of 17 grass races. THE PLAYS: #1 to win, Trifecta 1-11/ALL/4

SAR 12 (Mcl-25k, 8f inner turf) #2 ST. SINCERE (3-1) makes his first start in 11+ months for recently hot trainer George Weaver. Dam has tossed three turf winners and he will probably flash speed under Rocco. #6 Trainingforsuccess (8-1) is back in for a tag and just missed vs. this kind at Belmont under today’s pilot Lezcano June 16. #3 Summer Shiner (5-2) has never raced this low for Linda Rice and barn $$ rider Cornelio V hops aboard. #9 Ryvit (6-1) and #5 Shortcoming (10-1) finished 2-3 here July 21 and #8 Fiddlers Chico (9-2) has been 2-3 in 3 of last 4 turf starts. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Trifecta 2-6/2-3-6/2-3-5-6-8-9

Double/Pick 3/Pick 4 contenders – in order of preference

Race

1   (4-1-6)
2   (5-7-4)
3   (1-7)
4   (2-8-3)
5   (7-6-6-3)
6   (4-12-2-6)
7   (3-4-9)
8   (4-1-6-7)
9   (2-3-6)
10 (6-1-5-3)
11 (1-11-4)
12 (2-6-3-9-5-8)