Posts Tagged ‘Lecomte Stakes 2012’

Grading the Kentucky Derby 2012 Preps: Lecomte, San Pedro

A single graded Kentucky Derby 2012 route prep was run over the weekend and Mr. Bowling struck out twelve rivals in Saturday’s Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds.

Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes (1-21-12): 79 BSF (Mr. Bowling)

Mr. Bowling

Mr. Bowling goes next in the G2 Risen Star on Feb 25 - photo by Eclipse Sportswire

The Lecomte did not look strong from a visual standpoint and was run in a mediocre 1:43.49. For final time comparisons, sophomore fillies covered the same distance in the Silverbulletday Stakes with Believe You Can stopping the clock in 1:42.34. Two races later, 3-year-old Atlantic Titan broke his maiden in 1:43.42.

Mr. Bowling drifted out in the stretch and held off Z Dager by a head. Shared Property, breaking from post 13, rallied to finish another ½ length back in 3rd, followed by Z Dager’s stablemate Dan And Shelia.

The top three are all expected back in New Orleans for the G2 Risen Star Stakes. Based on the weakness of the Lecomte, look for new shooters to make the grade in New Orleans next time.

Lecomte Stakes Grade: D

The Lecomte might not produce a legitimate Derby contender but the six and one-half furlong San Pedro Stakes at Santa Anita Park was the coming out party for Midnight Transfer.

San Pedro Stakes (1-22-12): 93 BSF (Midnight Transfer)

The Carla Gaines trainee, a 3-year-old son of Hard Spun, out of French Deputy mare French Satin, garnered a rock solid 93 BSF for his good looking off the pace tally on Sunday and might try two turns in the G2 San Felipe Stakes at the Great Race Place on March 10.

Got Even set the pace and got nailed late by the winner. Drill made a wide early move before flattening out in yet another disappointing effort.

San Pedro Stakes Grade: B-

Lecomte Stakes 2012 Preview: Will Hammers Terror scare up a win?

The road to Kentucky Derby 2012 gets underway on Saturday at Fair Grounds with their first graded route for the 3-year-old set, the Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes. The one mile and seventy yard affair has attracted a baker’s dozen and Hammers Terror figures to offer value at 6-1 on the line.

Kentucky Derby 2012

#8 HAMMERS TERROR (6-1) has earned quality Final Time Ratings in all three starts and I like his tactical burst away speed. He is a nose away from a perfect 3-for-3 record.

#4 Mr. Bowling (8-1) was making nice progress from a numbers standpoint prior to finishing a flat 3rd as the beaten favorite when last seen in the flat mile G3 Iroquois at Churchill in November. He earned his best Final Time Rating around two turns and could be poised to fire a fresh shot for Larry Jones.

#3 Ted’s Folly (10-1) has rattled off six straight and is a nice success story. He won the Springboard Mile last time and runner-up Reckless Jerry just missed in the Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn on Jan 16 while show finisher Pee H Dee came back to win an allowance race at Oaklawn on the same day.

{Keep up with all of the Kentucky Derby 2012 trail workouts}

#10 Capetown Devil (6-1) is 3-for-3 and has earned a Stakes shot after working his way from Maiden Claiming to Starter Allowance to Optional Claiming. The improving gelding projects a tactical trip.

#11 Shared Property (4-1) flashed ability as a juvenile for Amoss but he is stuck out in post 13 and has not raced in more than three months.

Exfactor

Can Exfactor get two turns in Lecomte? - photo by Eclipse Sportswire

#5 Exfactor (5-1) was all out to win by a nose in his dirt sprint return. He stretches out 2nd off the shelf and is a bounce candidate.

#6 Seven Lively Sins (9-2) exits a weak renewal of the G3 Delta Jackpot. He did beat Mr. Bowling in the Iroquois and might be best around one turn. The Al Stall Jr. trainee looms a pace factor at the very least.

#2 Dan And Shelia (6-1) captured his flat mile bow at Gulfstream for Pletcher. The $150,000 son of More Than Ready tries two turns in his first start against winners and gives up a seasoning edge in this spot.

#2b Z Dager (6-1) exits a course/distance maiden win in the slop for Asmussen. This is an ambitious placement for the recent graduate.

#1 Adena’s Chance (20-1) and #1a Hero of Order (20-1) both seem up against it, along with #7 Alexander Thegreat (30-1) and #9 Chalybeate Springs (20-1).

THE PLAYS:

$12 to win #8

$1 Trifecta 3-4-8/3-4-8/3-4-8-10-11 ($18)