Posts Tagged ‘Horse Racing Nation’

How to bet Sunday’s Del Mar Pick 6 on a budget

By Jarrod Horak, winninghorsepicks.com (@jchorak)

Sunday is closing day of the fall meet at Del Mar, and the Pick 6 has a mandatory payout. There is also a Single Ticket Jackpot Carryover of $104,118.

Del Mar

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

I will use one of my favorite cost-effective Pick 6 wagering strategies, the spread ticket formula. In the spread tickets below, I have separated my primary and secondary win contenders to keep the cost down. It would cost $720 to lump all of my contenders on one ticket, but the spread ticket formula knocks the price down to a much more reasonable $176.

Pick 6 Contenders for Sunday

Race 4 (OC-20k/1x, CA-bred, 6.5f) 
Primary – #6 Gemini Journey, #7 Haviture Way
Secondary – #3 Desert Madam, #2 Gotham Desire
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Beat the Favorite: Om looks vulnerable in 2017 Seabiscuit Handicap

By Jarrod Horak, winninghorsepicks.com (@jchorak)

Om is the 5-2 morning line favorite in Sunday’s Seabiscuit Handicap at Del Mar, and you have to go all the way back to the 2015 Mathis Brothers Mile to find his last win. 

Del Mar

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Om has raced 10 times since without a victory, compiling four runner-up efforts and four show finishes. He added blinkers for his last two starts and did not show his usual tactical speed in either of those events. He has the back class to make a run at the top prize but lacks a winning spirit recently, won’t offer much value on the win end, and is probably best used underneath.  
Flamboyant and Tequila Joe finished third and fourth in the Hollywood Turf Cup on Nov. 24, and both will scratch from this spot. That leaves a trio of logical win alternatives to the favorite starting with Pee Wee Reese. The Phil D’Amato trainee is 4-for-5 with a 2nd on turf and the pace player runs well fresh. He earned his best speed figure yet when last seen in the American Stakes at Santa Anita on July 4 and he defeated Om that day.  

Tips to betting 2-year-olds on Churchill Downs’ Sunday races

By Jarrod Horak

The handicapping process in many races begins and ends with pace and speed figures, but juvenile races are not so cut and dry. Two-year-old sprint races in the spring and summer are typically dominated by early developing speed horses, though things begin to change when distances increase and surfaces switch.
Churchill Downs

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Here, I will lay out two of my favorite money making situations in juvenile races with Churchill Downs set to host its “Stars of Tomorrow” card Sunday under the Twin Spires.

Maiden 2-Year-Old Turf Routes

Pedigree analysis and trainer angles are the keys to making money in maiden juvenile turf races, and there are a pair of grass routes Sunday at Churchill.

HRN Sunday Picks: English Channel, Anoakia, Dowager

Each weekend we reach out to our network of editors, writers and bloggers for their thoughts on the country’s biggest stakes races.

Belmont Park

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

On Sunday, we’ve lined up stakes picks from coast to coast, starting with Belmont’s English Channel, then to Santa Anita’s Anoakia and finally Keeneland’s Dowager.

Best of luck! Now, to the picks…

$100,000 English Channel Stakes (4:13 p.m. ET at Belmont Park)

Jeffrey Byrnes, Byrnzzze’s Corner (@jeffbyrnes96)

Winner: #10 Souper Tapit

On the board: #3 Let’s Get Loud, #11 Fact Finding

Longshot I like: #6 No Dozing

Analysis: Souper Tapit returns to the races off a five-month layoff. The last time we saw him, he won the Marine Stakes at Woodbine over the Tapeta surface. After three races on dirt, the Live Oak homebred switched to a different surface and dominated his competition. This will be his turf debut, but his pedigree suggests he should take to the surface. His dam, Grade 1 winner Zo Impressive, has a family that’s full of turf winners. Coming into this race off a bullet work on Oct. 14, this son of Tapit is ready to roll on the Belmont turf course.

Jarrod Horak (@jchorak)

Winner: #6 No Dozing

On the board: #3 Let’s Get Loud, #10 Souper Tapit

Longshot I like: #4 Dalarna

Analysis: No Dozing was overmatched in the G1 Allen Jerkens last time. Dam has produced two turf winners and trainer Delacour is 14-for-42 (33%) first turf.

Casey Laughter, The Tattooed Tracksider (@writingcasey)

Winner: #10 Souper Tapit

On the Board: #6 No Dozing, #3 Let’s Get Loud

Longshot I like: #2 Lunaire

Analysis: I think Souper Tapit will do just fine on the turf after running on the all-weather at Woodbine last out. This will also be No Dozing’s first start on the turf, so I am anticipating he can move up a bit.

Jasen Mangrum, Handicapper’s Corner (@Cappercorner)

Winner: #10 Souper Tapit

On the board: #6 No Dozing, #11 Fact Finding

Longshot I like: #2 Lumaire

Analysis: Souper Tapit has never raced on the grass, but a repeat of his only effort over Polytrack will put him straight in the winner’s circle.No Dozing has also yet to try turf, but is bred for lawn and a mile is his best distance. #11 Fact Finding looks to be the dangerous lone speed in the race.

My plays: $2 trifecta 10/2,3,6,11/2,3,6,11=$24 $1 trifecta 2,3,6,11/10/2,3,6,11=$12 Total Bet=$36

Matt Scott, 55,000 Furlongs to the Finish

Winner: #3 Let’s Get Loud

On the board: #10 Souper Tapit

Analysis: The weather looks to keep this on the turf, so limiting the selections, Souper Tapit could put in quite a show as a first time turf starter. However, I’ll stick with Chad Brown and the greenly raced Lets Get Loud when the running is on the green stuff.

Matt Shifman, NY State of Racing (@andyscoggin)

Winner: #11 Fact Finding

On the board: #3 Let’s Get Loud, #10 Souper Tapit

Longshot I like: #2 Lunaire

Analysis: The English Channel attracted a mixed bag of runners that includes horses that were briefly on the Kentucky Derby trail, some of which have not yet run on the grass. Fact Finding won three in a row to start his career and then something went amiss in the Sam F. Davis. I think his return in the turf sprint could be pointing to a big effort here.

To view staff picks for the Anoakia and Dowager, please visit Horse Racing Nation.

HRN Video Race of the Week: Del Mar Handicap with Hunt & Ashleyluvssugar

My HRN Video Race of the Week for August 19 is the Grade 2 Del Mar Handicap with Hunt, Ashleyluvssugar, and Itsinthepost.

My Saturday Del Mar full card (8-19-17) is ready to purchase at WinningHorsePicks.com – Weekly Packages Also Available!

 

 

 

HRN Video Race of the Week: Test Stakes from Saratoga

My Horse Racing Nation video race for August 5 is the Grade I Test Stakes from Saratoga with American Gal and Faypien.

HRN Video Race of the Week: Sanford Stakes from Saratoga

HRN’s Video Race of the Week series continues with the Grade III Sanford Stakes from Saratoga Race Course.