Posts Tagged ‘Gold Megillah’

Coolmore Lexington 2012 Preview: Holiday Promise on upswing

This is the final chance to earn Kentucky Derby 2012 graded cash and morning line favorite Castaway can make the gate on the first Saturday in May with a win in the Grade 3 Coolmore Lexington Stakes at Keeneland on Saturday.

Castaway

Castaway can make the Derby cut with a win in Saturday's G3 Lexington - photo by Eclipse Sportswire

#7 Castaway (3-1) had his goose cooked on the front end in the G3 Sunland Derby. The Baffert trainee captured the slower division of the G3 Southwest before that and landed the place in his synthetic bow at Del Mar last summer. He won’t offer much value and could be in trouble if pressured early.

#6 Holiday Promise (6-1) had the light bulb turned on after adding blinkers Feb 20. He exits a fine place finish in the G3 Spiral and is working well at Keeneland. He has enough positional speed to keep the leaders in his sights and should offer a hint of value for Alvarado/Pletcher.

#11 Gold Megillah (10-1) finished 3rd in Turfway’s Rushaway last out and the top two came back to run well. The Graham Motion trainee needs to work out a trip from the outside post under Johnny V.

#10 News Pending (5-1) put his name on the map following a place finish behind Union Rags in the G2 Fountain of Youth. He never got involved in the paceless G1 Florida Derby but has some tactical ability and would not be the first turf horse to handle Polytrack.

#8 Hammers Terror (30-1) rates a longshot look. He ran well in both Polytrack starts last year and showed some ability at Fair Grounds this season. A tactical trip under Albarado is anticipated.

#1 Morgan’s Guerrilla (6-1) was last seen landing the place from post 12 in the G3 Illinois Derby on April 7. The early-pressing type should save all the ground under Leparoux and still has a shot to make the Derby field with a win.

#2 Summer Front (9-2) nabbed all three of his turf starts last year for Clement. The $475k purchase is firing Payson bullets for this and shows up in an ambitious spot off the shelf.

#3 Johannesbourbon (8-1) easily captured his Turfway sprint bow and the distant runner-up came back to tally. He stretches out and looms a pace factor at the very least in this salty spot.

#5 Golden Ticket (6-1) rallied for the place in the G2 Tampa Bay Derby. He raced evenly in both local sprints and will try to get involved late.

#4 Skyring (30-1) stumbled at the start, raced wide, and split the field at 45-1 in the Illinois Derby. He will probably stalk the pace under Court with a clean beginning.

#9 All Squared Away (50-1) made a wide move before flattening out in the Spiral. Wesley Ward has him now and he excels with new additions to his barn. This one could end up being a pace casualty.

The Plays:

$16 to win #6

$4 Exacta Box 6-11 ($8)

$4 Exacta 6-11/8-10 ($16)

Advertisements

Gulfstream Park Derby 2012 Preview

The $100,000 Gulfstream Park Derby is the first 3-year-old-prep for Kentucky 2012 hopefuls and there is value to be found if we can knock morning line favorite Ancient Rome out of the top spot.

#2 Reveron (4-1) owns a rising numbers pattern and appears poised to try a route after running 5.5f, 6f, and twice at seven furlongs. All of his works/races at Calder so there is no guarantee he will handle the Gulf. A ground saving tactical trip for profitable low profile connections is anticipated.

#1 King Kid (12-1) captured his Churchill bow and it is not easy to post a debut tally at seven panels. The Romans trainee is bred to route (Lemon Drop Kid-Royal Academy) and could show up on the sod at some point.

#7 Ancient Rome (3-1) fired in all three sprint starts including determined Spectacular Bid tally here Dec 3. The speedy son of Roman Ruler will not offer much value in his first route attempt.

#9 Ravelo’s Boy (12-1) finished nicely in local optional claiming route win Dec 3. He will be closing at a price and could sneak into the Trifecta.

#11 Yourhonorandglory (10-1) brings strong Parx form to the table and has the productive Carmouche-Servis team in his corner. The early-pressing type must work out a trip from post 11.

#5 Casual Trick (6-1) exits a visually impressive maiden win at Churchill but did not earn much of a number. Yet another promising sort out of Bernardini.

#3 Gold Megillah (8-1) freaked under the Twin Spires Nov 16 but that race was in the goo and it looks like a fast track today.

#6 Silver Menace (6-1) is undefeated in two starts and now goes for the Mucho Macho Man team.

#8 Politicallycorrect (8-1) earned a decent number in his course/distance maiden breaker Dec 4 but was part of below par fractions that day and will have to run harder throughout in this spot.

#4 Nachas And Joy (12-1) brings fine Illinois form to the table but has never raced on fast conventional dirt.

#10 Rex’s Last Tour (30-1) makes his 11th lifetime start for low percentage connections and tries a route for the first time. He appears overmatched.

The Plays:

$12 to win #2
.50 cent Trifecta 1-2/7/ALL ($9)
.50 cent Trifecta 1-2/ALL/9 ($9)