Posts Tagged ‘Finnegans Wake’

Santa Anita Park Gold Cup Analysis Featuring Catch a Flight (Video)

The 2015 Gold Cup at Santa Anita drew a field of 11 and Grade 2 Californian hero Catch a Flight is the 5-2 morning line favorite.

gold cup odds 2015

Other contenders include graded stakes winners Hoppertunity (7-2), Moreno (7-2), and Finnegans Wake (6-1).

SATURDAY’S SANTA ANITA PARK (JUNE 27) full card analysis is now available to purchase at:

The Runaway Horse

 

Belmont Stakes Day 2015 Preview + Met Mile Video

Belmont Stakes Day Preview (Saturday, June 6, 2015):

G1 Ogden Phipps (race 5)

phipps 2015

Untapable is the overwhelming morning line favorite and Wedding Toast might be the only one with a shot to beat her.

G1 Acorn (race 7)

acorn 2015

This is a wide open race. Kentucky Oaks runner-up Shook Up is the tepid 7-2 morning line favorite. Other contenders include Promise Me Silver, 8-for-8 lifetime, and wire job threat Condo Commando.

G1 Met Mile (race 9)

met mile 2015

This might be the race of the day with Tonalist, Wicked Strong, and Bayern in the field.

G1 Manahttan (race 10)

manhattan 2015

Quite possibly the toughest race on the program. Twilight Eclipse and Finnegans Wake figure to vie for favoritism.

G1 Belmont Stakes (race 11)

belmont draw 2015

Will American Pharoah become the first horse to sweep the Triple Crown since 1978? History is against him but he seems to be coming up to the race as good as possible and should have every chance to succeed. The expected tepid pace should help his cause but it will not be an easy task with the likes of Grade 1 winners Frosted and Materiality in the field.

belmont odds 2015

SATURDAY’S BELMONT STAKES DAY (JUNE 6) full card analysis from Belmont Park is now available to purchase for $15 at:

The Runaway Horse

 

Hero of Order Stuns Mark Valeski in Louisiana Derby

The winding road to Kentucky Derby 2012 took an unexpected turn in Louisiana on Sunday when 109-1 outsider Hero of Order shocked the world in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby.

G2 Louisiana Derby (4-1-12): 90 BSF (Hero of Order)

Hero of Order wins 2012 Louisiana Derby

Hero of Order shocks the world in Sunday's LA Derby - photo by Eclipse Sportswire

As expected, longshot Comisky’s Humor shot to the early lead in the Fair Grounds showcase on Sunday with Hero of Order, Windsurfer, Cigar Street, and Mark Valeski chasing.

The 26-1 early leader was done after six furlongs and bomber Hero of Order took over. Windsurfer was one paced along the inside and Mark Valeski started to advance turning for home.

Hero of Order opened up a 1.5 length advantage and appeared to be saying come and get me…but nobody could. In the end, the Gennadi Dorochenko trainee held on by a 1/2 length under Eddie Martin Jr. with Mark Valeski settling for runner-up honors once again. The latter threw a shoe and bruised his foot during the race.

Rousing Sermon was the only late runner to make an impact, checking in a solid 3rd under Mike Smith. Cigar Street was 4th, followed by Shared Property, Windsurfer, Afford, Z Dager, Fire Alarm, Finnegans Wake, Flashy Sunrise, Mr. Bowling, and Comisky’s Humor.

Hero of Order is not a Kentucky Derby nominee so he won’t be running under the Twin Spires on the first Saturday in May.

The Fair Grounds Derby prep series proved disappointing with slow renewals of the G3 Lecomte and G2 Louisiana Derby. El Padrino and Mark Valeski put on a show in the G2 Risen Star but both failed to live up to expectations this weekend. I don’t think anybody coming out of this heat is a serious Derby threat.

Louisiana Derby Grade: D (66 out of 100)

 

 

Louisiana Derby 2012 Preview: Is Mark Valeski the real deal?

The Fair Grounds sophomores complete their Kentucky Derby 2012 road in Sunday’s Grade 2 Louisiana Derby and Mark Valeski tries to prove that he is a worthy morning line favorite.

Pace

Early-Pressers:

Cigar Street
Mark Valeski
Arm Force
Comisky’s Humor
Hero of Order

Stalkers:

Fire Alarm
Windsurfer
Mr. Bowling
Z Dager
Afford

Late Runners:

Finnegans Wake
Flashy Sunrise
Shared Property
Rousing Sermon

Analysis:

#7 SHARED PROPERTY (10-1) experienced wide trips in the G3 Lecomte (3rd from post 13) and G2 Risen Star (4th from post 10). He captured a Graded event as a juvenile, gets a much better draw (post 6), fired a local bullet March 19, and dons the hood for sharp trainer Tom Amoss. #3 Windsurfer (12-1) is on the upswing for Pletcher/Winstar Farm. The talented colt won despite a wide trip at the Gulf Feb 18 and was flattered when the runner-up returned to score. The $190k purchase fired a Palm Meadows bullet for this March 18 and projects an inner tactical trip under Johnny V. #1a Mark Valeski (2-1) did everything but win the G2 Risen Star. He stalked, pounced, and was nipped on the line by favorite El Padrino in his first route try for Larry Jones. The improving son of Proud Citizen should make his presence felt throughout under Napravnik.

Wagering Strategies:

$15 to win #7
$5 to win #3
$5 Exacta 7/1-3 ($10)
$5 Exacta 1-3/7 ($10) 

Grading the Kentucky Derby 2012 Preps: Hansen’s Gotham Triumph

Juvenile champ Hansen is back in the swing of things on the road to Kentucky Derby 2012 after taking a bite out of the Big Apple in Saturday’s Grade 3 Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct.

Hansen Kentucky Derby contender

Hansen gets back on the beam in Gotham - photo by Eclipse Sportswire

G3 Gotham Stakes (3-3-12): 95 BSF (Hansen)

Hansen did everything right in the Gotham Stakes and Ramon Dominguez gave him a great ride. He relaxed beautifully from an outer post and was much the best over My Adonis, who was well clear of rallying show finisher Finnegans Wake. 4th place finisher Tiger Walk broke from post 13 and just missed rounding out the trifecta.

I have never been a huge Hansen fan in regards to ten furlong success on the first Saturday in May but he did was he was supposed to do at the Big A on March 3. He removed the hood, tracked the pace, and easily toppled a modest group. That has been a recurring theme on the Derby trail so far. Alpha, El Padrino, Hansen, and Union Rags have all captured graded races against suspect company. El Padrino has been running the fastest races and Union Rags wins the visually impressive reward. Alpha and Hansen are chugging right along and it will be interesting to see what happens when the aforementioned sophomore leaders face better company at nine furlongs and beyond.

Gotham Stakes Grade: B

Gotham Stakes 2012 Preview: Hansen seeks redemption

The next-to-last major Kentucky Derby 2012 prep in New York will be run at Aqueduct Racetrack on Saturday and juvenile champ Hansen tries to get back on the beam in the G3 Gotham Stakes.

Hansen horse

Is Hansen a legit Kentucky Derby contender? - photo by Eclipse Sportswire

#12 Hansen (6-5) removes the hood in hopes of relaxing a bit in the early going. He used too much early energy after stumbling at the start off the shelf in the G3 Holy Bull and it cost him dearly in the lane. I have always thought the 2-year-old champion was a speedy colt with distance limitations and he figures to take too much action under Dominguez. As of this writing, there is a 100% chance of rain at the Big A on March 3 and the strong morning line favorite handles any type of ground.

#2 Stealcase (12-1) is an interesting price player for Mark Casse. He was favored in all three career starts and smartly moved forward to earn his diploma over a route of ground at Gulfstream Jan 19. Windsurfer, the clear place finisher from his last, came back to break his maiden as the favorite. He finished 4th on Dec 24 and that key heat produced multiple next out winners including Thunder Moccasin in the G2 Hutcheson. The promising sort has faced decent runners and is on the improve.

#5 Maan (15-1) won both sprint starts for Eddie Kenneally (Santiva, Battle Hardened) including a stalk and pounce tally in the slop at the Gulf Feb 9. The $200k purchase is bred to go this far but must avoid a bounce.

#1 My Adonis (5-1) rallied for the show in the G3 Holy Bull. He handles any footing and is capable of stalking the pace or rallying late, depending on the race shape. His only bad race occurred when he dueled on a fast pace and faltered in the G3 Delta Jackpot.

#13 Tiger Walk (12-1) matched his career top number in a show finish behind Alpha in the G3 Withers here Feb 4. The Sagamore Farm colt has some talent and new pilot Eddie Castro will try to work out a tactical trip from a tough post.

#10 Side Road (20-1) replaces injured colt Consortium for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin. The Darley Stable colorbearer is on the upswing and can grab a piece of this with further development.

#9 King And Crusader (15-1) could throw a monkey wrench into Hansen’s theft plans. Rick Dutrow’s fleet colt has rattled off three straight and looms a pace player at the very least. He might not want to go this far against this type of competition.

It would not be a Derby prep without Todd Pletcher and he takes two shots at the top prize. #6 Dan And Shelia (8-1) rallied to finish 4th in a slow renewal of the G3 Lecomte but that was only his second lifetime start so he has upside. Uncoupled stablemate #8 Raconteur (15-1) owns fine tactical speed and exits back-to-back inner track route victories. He is bred for a wet track and gets tested for class.

#3 Finnegans Wake (20-1) is one of two uncoupled longshots entered for Dale Romans. This one is owned by Donegal Racing (Dullahan, Paddy O’Prado) and goes turf-to-dirt. Stablemate #7 Suns Out Guns Out (30-1) is still a maiden for West Point Thoroughbreds. The son of Empire Maker is getting better but this is a tough spot.

#4 Pretension (20-1) has fired Exacta shots in all five lifetime starts. The decent NY-bred projects a tactical trip but might find this group a tad salty.

#11 Done Talking (20-1) was last seen rallying for 4th in the G2 Remsen. He has some ability but might need the outing.

The Plays:

$20 to win #2

$1 Trifecta 2-5/1-2-5-12/1-2-5-10-12-13 ($24)