Archive for the ‘Breeders’ Cup 2017’ Category

Bet these Breeders’ Cup Saturday runners next time out

By Jarrod Horak, (@jchorak)

This is part two of a series designed to find values on 2017 Breeders’ Cup runners heading into their next starts. Part one covered Friday’s races at Del Mar, with this an analysis of Saturday’s runners.

Del Mar

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Juvenile Turf Sprint

This was not a Breeders’ Cup event, but Count Alexander had a brutal trip and is definitely going on my watch list. In this five-furlong turf sprint, Count Alexander seemed to have plenty of run turning for home under Corey Nakatani but was stuck inside with nowhere to go. He ended up 11th but could have easily finished in the top three with a different trip. 

Juvenile Fillies

This did not appear to be a strong renewal of this event, and the final time was mediocre. The pace was honest and Caledonia Road rallied from post twelve to post an easy score at 17-1 odds under Mike Smith. Alluring Star did all of the pace dirty work, pulled clear in the lane, and just held 2nd in a decent effort. Blonde Bomber rallied from 13th to land the show. Separationofpowers was wide and prominent throughout after a bit of a slow start from the outside post and ended up an okay 4th. Wonder Gadot did not have the smoothest stretch run and was not disgraced in 6th. Post time favorite Moonshine Memories dueled and retreated to 7th. 

Please check out the rest of this post at Horse Racing Nation.

Bet these 2017 Breeders’ Cup Friday runners next time out

By Jarrod Horak, (@jchorak)

Breeders’ Cup 2017 is in the books, and following an exciting two days at Del Mar, let’s try to find some horses moving forward out of the championships for future wagering opportunities.

Del Mar

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Juvenile Fillies Turf

I think the best horse won the first Breeders’ Cup 2017 race. Rushing Fall showed a nice late kick in her first two turf outings, including Keeneland’s Grade 3 Jessamine, and she did it again in this spot at Del Mar for Javier Castellano and Chad Brown. Best Performance and September rallied for second and third. 

The horse I am most interested in going forward is 4th-place finisher Significant Form (also trained by Brown) — and not just because she was my value top choice. She was the only forwardly placed runner to be around at the end. The top three, and 5th through 8th place finishers, were 9th, 8th, 14th, 11th, 7th, 10th, and 13th after the opening quarter. In the early stages, Significant Form was stalking three-wide in 4th. She hung in there throughout in a solid effort and is definitely worth following. She crossed the line first (placed 7th via disqualification Aug. 27) in her initial two Belmont starts including a sharp victory in the Grade 3 Miss Grillo.

Please read the rest of this post at Horse Racing Nation

Betting 2017 Breeders’ Cup Saturday on a $100 bankroll

By Jarrod Horak, (@jchorak)

On Friday, I covered Breeders’ Cup Day 1 with a $100 bankroll and I will use the same key horse method for my Saturday wagers. The most probable winner on the Saturday card is possible 2-year-old champion and early Kentucky Derby 2018 favorite Bolt d’Oro in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (Race 10). 

Del Mar

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

#11 Bolt d’Oro is 3-for-3 and looked sensational in his romping Grade 1 FrontRunner victory on Sept. 30. He is 2-for-2 at Del Mar and wins this for fun if he runs back to his last. Post 11 is meaningless if he is as good as advertised. He could be even money or less, so I will skip the win wager and concentrate on exactas, trifectas, and superfectas.  

How to make money betting the 2017 Breeders’ Cup Classic

By Jarrod Horak, (@jchorak)

There are two ways to make money betting the 2017 Breeders’ Cup Classic. The first is to beat heavy race favorites Arrogate and Gun Runner. The second is to find a live longshot to finish underneath at long odds.

Before choosing which way to go with bettering Saturday’s race at Del Mar, let’s analyze the field:

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Betting 2017 Breeders’ Cup Friday on a $100 bankroll

By Jarrod Horak, (@jchorak)

There are many ways to tackle the two-day Breeders’ Cup betting bonanza, but my favorite is to key one or two horses each day.

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club

Photo by Eclipse Sportswire

My key horse for Breeders’ Cup Friday is Elate in the Distaff. Her trainer, Bill Mott, has saddled the winner of the Distaff five times, and his improving 3-year-old filly might make it six for the Hall of Famer.

Elate is starting to live up to the hype that was placed on her after romping by more than 12 lengths in her career debut last fall. She dropped four straight after her bow and turned the corner after a confidence-boosting minor stakes score at Delaware Park. She just missed in the Grade 1 Coaching Club American Oaks on July 23 and romped in her last pair in the Grade 1 Alabama and Grade 1 Beldame. She is reportedly training forwardly for the Distaff as well.

I will split up my $100 bankroll by playing 30% to win, 50% in exactas, trifectas, and superfectas, and 20% in daily double wagers.

You can read the rest of this post at Horse Racing Nation