Archive for November, 2013

Kentucky Derby 2014 Contenders – Shared Belief Freaks at BHP

Shared Belief burst onto the Kentucky Derby 2014 scene on Sunday, leaving highly regarded returnee Kobe’s Back in the dust in the Grade III Hollywood Prevue Stakes.

Kentucky Derby 2014 logo

Shared Belief also romped in his Golden Gate debut, and he was subsequently purchased privately by Jim Rome’s Jungle Racing and trainer Jerry Hollendorfer.

In the 7f Prevue at Hollywood Park, he tracked the pace in 2nd, took over in the lane, and drew off to win by almost 8-lengths. The sharp gelding completed his final furlong in 11.76 seconds and earned a 99 BSF.

Kobe’s Back rallied to finish a clear 2nd in his first start in more than four months. He generated buzz after a slow start and fast finish in his June Hollywood debut for Sadler, but he owns a less than stellar route pedigree and sports the look of a late running sprinter at this stage.

At Churchill Downs on Saturday, Almost Famous ran away from a promising allowance crew, including my former top ranked juvenile Purple Sky. The latter was flat as a pancake and never got involved.

Almost Famous was wearing blinkers for the first time and was in complete control throughout. The Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes might be next, and he can join my list with another impressive performance.

On Sunday, Nov. 3 at Aqueduct, Cairo Prince (Pioneerof The Nile – Holy Bubbette, by Holy Bull) earned a solid 90 BSF in his G2 Nashua Stakes at one mile. He will face tougher in the 9f Remsen (G2) and will have every chance to join my list with a big effort in his next start for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin.

Click on the names of each horse below (Top 5) to view their Horse Racing Nation profile page, which includes pedigree information, results, and video.

Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven” Kentucky Derby 2014 Contenders

1. HONOR CODE (A.P. Indy – Serena’s Cat, by Storm Cat)

Trainer: Shug McGaughey – Owner: Lane’s End Racing & Dell Ridge Farm

Latest Workout: 5f bullet in 1:00.20 (1/15) at Belmont Park on 11-10.

Comments: Made up more than 20-lengths in his career debut (Saratoga slop) to score by 4-1/2 lengths at 7f on 8-31 (89 BSF). He rallied to miss by a neck in the G1 Champagne on 10-5. He  skipped the G1 BC Juvenile in favor of the G2 Remsen at Aqueduct on Nov. 30.

New Year's Day horse

New Year’s Day wrapped up his 2yo campaign in the BC Juvenile. Look for him to resurface at SA next year – photo by Eclipse Sportswire

2. NEW YEAR’S DAY (Street Cry – Justwhistledixie, by Dixie Union)

Trainer: Bob Baffert – Owner: Gary & Mary West

Comments: Rallied for 3rd in his 5.5f Del Mar debut 8-17 and beat next out G1 FrontRunner winner Bond Holder in a one mile maiden race at that same venue 8-31. He came off the bench and showed his talent with a professional score in the G1 BC Juvenile and is an exciting long term prospect.

3. HAVANA (Dunkirk – Missy Turtle, by Kyle’s Our Man)

Trainer: Todd Pletcher – Owner: Taber, Magnier, and Smith

Comments: Went wire-to-wire in his Saratoga debut on 8-23 and earned a 102 BSF. Put away Debt Ceiling and Grand Arrival early, and held off Honor Code by a nose in the G1 Champagne (93 BSF) at Belmont on 10-5. Stalked and pounced from post 13 in BC Juvenile but could not hold off New Year’s Day.

4. STRONG MANDATE (Tiznow – Clear Mandate, by Deputy Minister)

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas – Owner: Baker & Mack

Comments: Finished 5th in his 7-22 Saratoga bow. He graduated by 4-1/2 lengths at 6.5f at the Spa on 8-17 and cruised by 9-3/4 in the G1 Hopeful at 7f (mud, sealed) on 9-2 (85 BSF). He never got untracked in 7th place Champagne puzzler. He shot to the front from post 14 and finished an improved 3rd in the BC Juvenile.

5. SHARED BELIEF (Candy Ride – Common Hope, by Storm Cat)

Trainer: Jerry Hollendorfer – Owner: Jungle Racing (Jim Rome)

Comments: Cruised in his 10-19 Golden Gate debut and crushed four rivals in the G3 Hollywood Prevue Stakes on 11-10. The exciting gelding is off to a great start might show up next in the CashCall Futurity.

6. PURPLE SKY (Pulpit – Tessa Blue, by Awesome Again)

Trainer: Al Stall Jr. – Owner: Bruce Lunsford

Comments: 3rd behind Honor Code and Misconnect in Aug. 31 Saratoga debut and raced green that day. He overcame adversity to earn diploma at Churchill Downs (one mile) on 9-28. Never got involved in allowance route at Churchill on Nov. 9. He has talent and it is much too early to give up on him.  Likely to winter at Fair Grounds.

7. MISCONNECT (Unbridled’s Song – Summer Raven, by Summer Squall)

Trainer: Todd Pletcher – Owner: Repole Stable

Latest Workout: 4f in :51.08 (41/45) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on 10-14.

Comments: Battled on the pace throughout and was 2nd best to Honor Code in his 8-31 debut at the Spa. He graduated by a length at Belmont on 9-28 (85 BSF).

8. SCHOOLOFHARDROCKS (Rock Hard Ten – Miss Chapin, by Royal Academy)

Trainer: David Hofmans – Owner: Amerman Racing LLC.

Latest Workout: 5f in 1:00.80 (32/48) at Santa Anita on 9-25.

Comments: It is not easy to win a route race first time out, but he did just at Del Mar on 8-31. Veteran jockey Victor Espinoza is high on this one. “He’s a very talented horse,” Espinoza said of the son of Rock Hard Ten. “I liked him the first time I saw him. I was impressed with how he ran going a mile and winning from the one hole (at odds of 10-1 Aug. 31 at Del Mar). I feel he’ll get even better.” Schoolofhardrocks scratched out of the FrontRunner Stakes. “It’s not too significant,” trainer David Hofmans said of the unrevealed injury. “It’s a problem we’re working on.”

9. GRAND ARRIVAL (Harlan’s Holiday – Grandstone, by Grindstone)

Trainer: Nick Zito – Owner: Ameche Jr., Ameche III, & Prancing Horse Enterprises

Latest Workout: 4f bullet in :47.98 (1/24) at Saratoga on 10-26.

Comments: Distant 3rd in his 7-22 Saratoga debut (Strong Mandate 5th). Romped by 6-1/4 lengths as the 3-2 favorite at that same venue at 7f second time out on 8-31 (sloppy, sealed). Attended pace and retreated to 8th in Champagne. He should get better with age.

10. KENDALL’S BOY (Sky Mesa – Golden Damsel, by Gold Token)

Trainer: Tom Amoss – Owner: Jerry Namy

Latest Workout: 4f in :48.80 (8/44) at Churchill Downs on 10-14.

Comments: Clearly second best to Havana in his 8-23 debut (94 BSF) at the Spa and rolled by 5-1/4 lengths at 6f under the Twin Spires on 9-13. He never appeared comfortable on synthetic footing and was not persevered with in 11th place Breeders’ Futurity effort.

11. GIVE NO QUARTER (Tiz Wonderful – Roadtohanna, by Not for Love)

Trainer: Graham Motion – Owner: Sagamore Farm

Latest Workout: 5f bullet in 1:02 (1/8) at Fair Hill on 11-7.

Comments: Two races at Presque Isle with a clear place finish in his 5.5f bow on 8-15 and a 22-length romp at one mile on 9-17 (85 BSF). He was eased without an apparent excuse in the G3 Grey Stakes at Woodbine on Oct. 6. From Graham Motion’s Twitter account: @GrahamMotion – I’m afraid I can’t give an explanation for Give no Quarter’s poor performance at Woodbine today. He seems to have cooled out fine.

Pedigree Spotlight: Shared Belief

shared belief

Shared Belief’s sire Candy Ride (Ride the Rails – Candy Girl, by Candy Stripes) went 6-for-6 in 2002-03 and ended his brief career with a victory in the G1 Pacific Classic. He has been a smashing success at stud, siring stakes winners Clubhouse Ride, Kettle Corn, Misremembered, Sidney’s Candy, and Twirling Candy, among others. His versatile offspring typically handle any distance on dirt, synthetic, and turf. He stands for $35,000.

shared belief pedigree

Ride the Rails (Cryptoclearance – Herbalesian, by Herbager) was on the Kentucky Derby trail in 1994, finishing 3rd in the G2 Fountain of Youth, 2nd in the G1 Florida Derby, and 4th in the G2 Arkansas Derby. In addition to Candy Ride, he sired 22 stakes winners before his death in Uruguay in 2010.

Cryptoclearance (Fappiano) earned more than $3 million from 1986-89, capturing such prestigious races as the G1 Florida Derby and G1 Donn, and placing in the G1 Preakness, G1 Belmont Stakes, and G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup.

Shared Belief’s dam Common Hope (Storm Cat – Sown, by Grenfall) raced five times in 2000-01 with a maiden win at Del Mar to her credit. She is also the dam of 2011 Iowa Oaks (G3) winner Little Miss Holly. Her siblings include successful California sire Tribal Rule (Storm Cat – Sown, by Grenfall) and G1 Santa Monica winner Key Phrase (Flying Paster – Sown, by Grenfall)

Grade I winner Storm Cat (Storm Bird – Terlinga, by Secretariat) captured 4 of 8 lifetime starts and was 2nd in the 1985 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at the Big A. The legendary stallion stood for 20 years and sired more than 100 graded stakes winners. He died earlier this year at age 30 and is buried at Overbrook Farm.

Storm Cat’s sire Storm Bird (Northern Dancer) was a European champion. He sired 63 stakes winners (Summer Squall, Bluebird) before his death in 2004 at age 26.

Shared Belief has only competed on all-weather ground but is bred to handle any footing. Two turns should not be a problem and ten furlongs could be within reach on the first Saturday in May.

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WinStar Farm Visit (Part III): Behind the Scenes

Now that the 2013 Breeders’ Cup is in the books, it is time to finish up my WinStar Farm blog series. In Part I, I took a look at the stallions, and Part II was all about the Training Barn. In this edition, I will take a behind the scenes look at the WinStar training and rehab center.

WinStar FarmWinStar Farm has a state of the art training track and rehab center, and I am looking forward to seeing the Training Barn residents compete this winter and beyond.

outdoor poolWinStar offers much more than a training track for equine residents. If your horse needs some swimming therapy, try the large outdoor pool (right), or the indoor aqua tread (below right).

Does your horse need oxygen? No problem. Check out the hyperbaric chamber (below left).

hyperbaric chamberEstablishes horses like Normandy Invasion and Revolutionary should both be revitalized and full of energy when they return to the racing wars in the near future. I hope to see them both competing at a very high level in Florida this winter.

In the weeks and months to come, I will follow the progress of young, lightly raced, and unraced horses currently residing at WinStar Farm, including but not limited to Amazing Shoes (Empire Maker – Isabell’s Shoes, by King of Kings), Clark Kent (Unbridled’s Song – Ideal Image, by Hennessy), Flirtatious (Hard Spun – Christina’s World, by Unbridled’s Song), Holy Soldier (Colonel John – Dance Swiftly, by Danzig), Queenie’s Song (Unbridled’s Song – Queen of Money, by Corporate Report), Race Day (Tapit – Rebalite, by More Than Ready), Sweet Dreamer (Tiznow – Dream of Summer, by Siberian Summer), and The Trunk Monkey (Old Fashioned – Susquehanna River, by Trippi).

aqua treadThese refreshed horses and others could end up offering decent value when they make it to the track. Stay tuned!

Thank you to WinStar for allowing us to visit and for taking us behind the scenes. If you would like to learn more about the WinStar StableMates program, check out their website.

If you would like to see more of Stacy’s WinStar and other horse racing pictures, please visit her Kentucky horse racing photos page, The Runaway Horse.

Kentucky Derby 2014 Contenders – New Year’s Day Comes Early

It was a big day for my Kentucky Derby 2014 contenders in the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Santa Anita Park on Saturday, November 2.

New Year's Day

New Year’s Day wins 2013 BC Juvenile – photo by Eclipse Sportswire

Three of my original exceptional eleven Derby contenders competed in the BC Juvenile, and they took down the top three spots.

New Year’s Day rose to the occasion for Bob Baffert, coming off a layoff and running down G1 Champagne hero Havana. They both finished in front of front runner Strong Mandate.

New Year’s Day owns a promising pedigree and might have the most potential. Havana has a ton of raw talent but might have distance limitations. D. Wayne Lukas will give Strong Mandate every opportunity to make the Derby starting gate.

The winning 2013 BC Juvenile BSF was a respectable 88. Last year’s Juvenile was a negative prep. The 2011 BC Juvenile was a key race. The 2013 edition probably falls somewhere in between.

Click on the names of each horse below (Top 5) to view their Horse Racing Nation profile page, which includes pedigree information, results, and video.

Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven” Kentucky Derby 2014 Contenders

1. PURPLE SKY (Pulpit – Tessa Blue, by Awesome Again)

Trainer: Al Stall Jr. – Owner: Bruce Lunsford

Latest Workout: Breezed 4f in :50.80 (75/97) at Churchill Downs on 11-2.

Comments: 3rd behind Honor Code and Misconnect in Aug. 31 Saratoga debut and raced green that day. He overcame adversity to earn diploma at Churchill Downs (one mile) on 9-28.

UPDATE: Purple Sky is entered in the 7th race at Churchill Downs on Saturday, Nov. 9. He is the 5-2 morning line favorite vs. nine optional claiming rivals at a mile and a sixteenth on the main track.

2. HONOR CODE (A.P. Indy – Serena’s Cat, by Storm Cat)

Trainer: Shug McGaughey – Owner: Lane’s End Racing & Dell Ridge Farm

Latest Workout: 4f bullet in :47 (1/24) at Belmont Park on 10-27.

Comments: Made up more than 20-lengths in his career debut (Saratoga slop) to score by 4-1/2 lengths at 7f on 8-31 (89 BSF). He rallied to miss by a neck in the G1 Champagne on 10-5. He  skipped the G1 BC Juvenile in favor of the G2 Remsen at Aqueduct on Nov. 30.

3. NEW YEAR’S DAY (Street Cry – Justwhistledixie, by Dixie Union)

Trainer: Bob Baffert – Owner: Gary & Mary West

Comments: Rallied for 3rd in his 5.5f Del Mar debut 8-17 and beat next out G1 FrontRunner winner Bond Holder in a one mile maiden race at that same venue 8-31. He came off the bench and showed his talent with a professional score in the G1 BC Juvenile.

4. HAVANA (Dunkirk – Missy Turtle, by Kyle’s Our Man)

Trainer: Todd Pletcher – Owner: Taber, Magnier, and Smith

Comments: Went wire-to-wire in his Saratoga debut on 8-23 and earned a 102 BSF. Put away Debt Ceiling and Grand Arrival early, and held off Honor Code by a nose in the G1 Champagne (93 BSF) at Belmont on 10-5. Stalked and pounced from post 13 in BC Juvenile but could not hold off New Year’s Day.

Strong Mandate

Strong Mandate bounced back with a solid show finish in the BC Juvenile – photo by Eclipse Sportswire

5. STRONG MANDATE (Tiznow – Clear Mandate, by Deputy Minister)

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas – Owner: Baker & Mack

Comments: Finished 5th in his 7-22 Saratoga bow. He graduated by 4-1/2 lengths at 6.5f at the Spa on 8-17 and cruised by 9-3/4 in the G1 Hopeful at 7f (mud, sealed) on 9-2 (85 BSF). He never got untracked in 7th place Champagne puzzler. He shot to the front from post 14 and finished an improved 3rd in the BC Juvenile.

6. MISCONNECT (Unbridled’s Song – Summer Raven, by Summer Squall)

Trainer: Todd Pletcher – Owner: Repole Stable

Latest Workout: 4f in :51.08 (41/45) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on 10-14.

Comments: Battled on the pace throughout and was 2nd best to Honor Code in his 8-31 debut at the Spa. He graduated by a length at Belmont on 9-28 (85 BSF).

7. SCHOOLOFHARDROCKS (Rock Hard Ten – Miss Chapin, by Royal Academy)

Trainer: David Hofmans – Owner: Amerman Racing LLC.

Latest Workout: 5f in 1:00.80 (32/48) at Santa Anita on 9-25.

Comments: It is not easy to win a route race first time out, but he did just at Del Mar on 8-31. Veteran jockey Victor Espinoza is high on this one. “He’s a very talented horse,” Espinoza said of the son of Rock Hard Ten. “I liked him the first time I saw him. I was impressed with how he ran going a mile and winning from the one hole (at odds of 10-1 Aug. 31 at Del Mar). I feel he’ll get even better.” Schoolofhardrocks scratched out of the FrontRunner Stakes. “It’s not too significant,” trainer David Hofmans said of the unrevealed injury. “It’s a problem we’re working on.”

8. GRAND ARRIVAL (Harlan’s Holiday – Grandstone, by Grindstone)

Trainer: Nick Zito – Owner: Ameche Jr., Ameche III, & Prancing Horse Enterprises

Latest Workout: 4f bullet in :47.98 (1/24) at Saratoga on 10-26.

Comments: Distant 3rd in his 7-22 Saratoga debut (Strong Mandate 5th). Romped by 6-1/4 lengths as the 3-2 favorite at that same venue at 7f second time out on 8-31 (sloppy, sealed). Attended pace and retreated to 8th in Champagne. He should get better with age.

9. KENDALL’S BOY (Sky Mesa – Golden Damsel, by Gold Token)

Trainer: Tom Amoss – Owner: Jerry Namy

Latest Workout: 4f in :48.80 (8/44) at Churchill Downs on 10-14.

Comments: Clearly second best to Havana in his 8-23 debut (94 BSF) at the Spa and rolled by 5-1/4 lengths at 6f under the Twin Spires on 9-13. He never appeared comfortable on synthetic footing and was not persevered with in 11th place Breeders’ Futurity effort.

10. GIVE NO QUARTER (Tiz Wonderful – Roadtohanna, by Not for Love)

Trainer: Graham Motion – Owner: Sagamore Farm

Latest Workout: 4f in :49.20 (5/11) at Fair Hill on 10-30.

Comments: Two races at Presque Isle with a clear place finish in his 5.5f bow on 8-15 and a 22-length romp at one mile on 9-17 (85 BSF). He was eased without an apparent excuse in the G3 Grey Stakes at Woodbine on Oct. 6. From Graham Motion’s Twitter account: @GrahamMotion – I’m afraid I can’t give an explanation for Give no Quarter’s poor performance at Woodbine today. He seems to have cooled out fine.

11. CANDIP (Candy Ride – Indefinable, by Storm Cat)

Trainer: W. Bret Calhoun  – Owner: Sanders and Hirsch

Latest Workout: Breezed 4f in :51.41 (8/14) at Remington Park on 9-22.

Comments: Coasted home by 4-1/4 lengths in his 5.5f Remington bow on 9-2 (89 BSF).

Pedigree Spotlight: New Year’s Day

new year's day pedigree

New Year’s Day’s sire Street Cry (Machiavellian – Helen Street, by Troy) went 5-for-12 from 2000-02 and won such prestigious stakes races as the G1 Dubai World Cup and G1 Stephen Foster. He has sired multiple stakes winners including Desert Party, Street Boss, and Zenyatta.

Machiavellian (Mr. Prospector – Coup de Folie, by Halo) was a group one winner in France. He retired with four wins from seven starts and earnings of $355,790. In addition to Street Cry, he sired 47 stakes winners including Dubai World Cup winner Almutawakel.

Mr. Prospector (by Raise a Native) won 7 of 14 starts including the Whirlaway and Gravesend Handicaps in 1974.

Legendary “Sire of sires” Mr. Prospector is one of the most influential horses in the history of thoroughbred racing, siring 181 stakes winners (47 Grade 1 or Group I winners) and 16 champions.

Street Cry’s dam Helen Street (GB) was a group one winner in Ireland in 1985. Her sire Troy (GB) won 8 of 11 races in 1978-79 including the Epsom Derby.

New Year’s Day’s dam Justwhistledixie (Dixie Union – General Jeanne, by Honour and Glory) won the G2 Davona Dale and G2 Bonnie Miss at Gulfstream Park in 2009. She was 2nd in the G1 Acorn at Belmont P:ark later that year.

Dixie Union (Dixieland Band – She’s Tops, by Capote) won the G1 Haskell in 2000, defeating Captain Steve and Milwaukee Brew. He also captured the G1 Malibu in his final career start and sired 39 stakes winners from his first eight crops including Gone Astray, Grasshopper, and G1 Belmont Stakes hero Union Rags.

Dixie Union’s sire was Dixieland Band (by Northern Dancer), a Maryland-bred horse I remember when I first started following racing in the early 1980′s. Dixieland Band won the G2.

New Year’s Day has a nice blend of speed and stamina throughout his pedigree, and ten furlongs on the first Saturday in May could easily be within his grasp. He is lightly raced, improving, and has plenty of upside for Bob Baffert.

Breeders’ Cup Saturday Recap

Thanks to everyone for purchasing my 2013 Breeders’ Cup full card analysis. Saturday was another profitable day. Saturday’s full card is posted below, along with highlights.  I will be doing BC full cards next year again, along with 2014 Triple Crown, but Fair Grounds analysis is up next.

Breeders' Cup 2013 logo

Upcoming Full Card Schedule:

Fair Grounds Saturdays (Nov. 23, 30Dec. 7, 14, 21, 28Jan. 4, 11,18, 25Feb. 1, 8, 15, 22March 1, 8, 15, 22, 29)

My Saturday Fair Grounds full cards will be available to purchase on my Today’s Racing Digest Handicapper page. If you are not a Digest member, you can create a free account.

Click here to visit my Today’s Racing Digest Handicapper page.

Breeders’ Cup Saturday Full Card Highlights:

SA 1 Richies Party Girl/Toowindytohaulrocks Exacta ($26.60)
SA 3 Pontchatrain (best bet #1, $6.60)
SA 5 BC F&M Turf – Dank/Romantica Exacta (best bet #3, $11.60)
Double (races 5-6, $19.40)
Pick 3 (races 5-7, $49.60)
SA 8 BC Juvenile – New Year’s Day ($23), Exacta w/Havana ($53.90)
Double (races 7-8, $116.00)
Pick 3 (6-8, $278.30)
SA 10 BC Sprint – Secret Circle ($7.00)
Double (races 10-11, $12.60)
SA 12 BC Classic – Mucho Macho Man ($10.00)
Double (races 11-12, $19.20)
Pick 3 (races 10-12, $38.80)

Breeders’ Cup Saturday full card analysis from Santa Anita (11-2-13)
By Jarrod Horak (horseracingnation.com, pick6blog.com)
Weather
: Partly cloudy. High 82.     
Best Bets
(races 3, 4, 5, 7, 9)

SA 1 (Juvenile Turf Sprint, 6.5T) #9 TOOWINDYTOHAULROCKS (5-1) graduated down the dip and early-pressing types from outer posts perform well at this trip. #8 Love in the Desert (2-1) is an overseas transplant now trainer by Callaghan. She was competitive in all four turf sprints and Bejarano takes the call. #2 Richies Party Girl (5-2) graduated in a Belmont turf sprint and competed in turf routes in his last pair. Early-pressing turn backs do well down the dip. THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Exacta 9/2-8, Exacta 2-8/9 

SA 2 (Damascus Stakes) #1 FLASHBACK (2-5) found a great return spot. He runs well fresh and does not have to be fully cranked to beat these four rivals. #5 Anillo (8-1) will likely set the pace under aggressive pilot Maldonado. He is 1-for-1 at 7f and might have enough left in the tank to complete the exacta. THE PLAYS: Exacta 1-5

SA 3 (G3 Senator Ken Maddy, 6.5T) #13 PONTCHATRAIN (6-1) easily won the Unzip Me over the hillside course. I love outside early-pressing types down the dip and Stevens strings along. #12 Qiaona (6-1) finished strong in a downhill victory Oct. 12 and figures tough if able to duplicate that effort. #10 Unusual Hottie (8-1) was sharp earlier this year in turf routes at BHP and DMR. The gem of consistency can fire off the shelf and is a competent turf sprinter. #11 A Time to Love (15-1) was a fine 2nd down the dip Oct. 4 and can spice up the exotics. THE PLAYS: #13 to win, Exacta Box 12-13, Exacta 12-13/10-11

SA 4 (G1 BC Juvenile Fillies) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 3:05pm eastern

#4 SECRET CMPASS (6-1) – Wore down She’s a Tiger in the local G1 Chandelier and is reportedly training great for this.

#7 Untapable (5-1) – Won both starts under the Twin Spires including G2 Pocahontas. She is also training forwardly.

#1 Artemis Agrotera (3-1) – Won both NY starts including G1 Frizette but was very fortunate when Sweet Reason blew the break last time. Inside speed always dangerous at Santa Anita.

#9 Sweet Reason (5-2) – Skipped over the Saratoga slop in first two outings including big late running score in G1 Spinaway. Clearly second best after bad start in G1 Frizette and can tag these but needs a clean trip on a fair surface.

#6 Concave (15-1) – Colonel John’s daughter lost for first time in G1 Del Mar Debutante but was not disgraced in rallying show finish. First dirt and two turn start.

#10 She’s a Tiger (6-1) – Is fast and game but needs to distribute her energy better. She is working well for this but looks like a sprinter at this stage.

#2 Rosalind (8-1) – Versatile filly handles dirt, synthetic, and turf. Her late run could spice up the exotics.

#8 Scandalous Act (8-1) – Queen of Calder must prove that she can run the same race away from her home venue.

#3 Designer Legs (30-1) – Failed to fire in G1 Alcibiades and G1 Spinaway. Her previous fast dirt sprint form was strong.

#5 Ria Antonia (30-1) – Lone win in Woodbine sprint. Non-threatening 5th in G1 Frizette.

THE PLAYS:

Win: #4

Exacta: 4/1-7-9, 1-7-9/4

Trifecta: 4-7/1-4-7-9/1-4-6-7-9-10

Superfecta: 4/1-7/1-7/ALL, 4/1-7/ALL/1-7, 4/ALL/1-7/1-7

SA 5 (G1 BC F&M Turf) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 3:43pm eastern

#2 ROMANTICA (6-1) – Classy Juddmonte filly loves firm turf and 10f.

#1 Dank (5-2) – Smashing G1 Beverly D winner is a fresh, classy contender.

#3 Tiz Flirtatious (7-2) – Consistent CA-bred filly is in career form.

#6 Marketing Mix (7-2) – Can compete with the best when on her game. 2nd in this event last year and will get first run under Stevens.

#5 Lady of Shamrock (20-1) – Failed to match her stellar 3yo campaign this year. She can still finish late and grab a piece on her best day.

#7 Laughing (8-1) – In career form with four graded wins from as many tries this year.

#9 Qushchi (20-1) – Marathon specialist will run out of ground in this spot.

#4 Alterite (10-1) – 3yo filly just missed in Keeneland’s QEII. Probably not good enough to beat these at this stage.

#10 Kitten’s Dumplings (10-1) – QEII winner meets too many classy older rivals.

#8 Emollient (12-1) – G1 winner on synthetic and turf really moves up on Keeneland’s Polytrack.

THE PLAYS:

WIN – #2

Exacta – 2/1-3, 1-3/2

Trifecta – 2/3/ALL, 2/ALL/3

Superfecta – 2/1-3/1-3/ALL, 2/1-3/ALL/1-3, 2/ALL/1-3/1-3

SA 6 (G1 BC F&M Sprint) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 4:21pm eastern

#12 SWEET LULU (8-1) – Close Hatches was the first filly to finish in front of her, and that was a Grade I route. She is 3-for-3 sprinting and early-pressing types from outer posts can be dangerous in extended sprints. Training forwardly.

#2 Book Review (5-1) – Loves seven panels and is a classy, sharp, fresh, and dangerous finisher for Bejarano/Baffert.

#5 Teddy’s Promise (6-1) – Brilliant at times and exits smart local win. Loves this course but cannot always be trusted to deliver a top effort. She was 8th in this event last year but is in better form this time.

#11 Groupie Doll (5-2) – Easily won this last year but her three 2013 numbers (2 losses) are not close to that level. Can she rediscover her greatness?

#4 Dance Card (8-1) – Did she get enough out of distant show finish in G2 Gallant Bloom to be competitive here? Obviously talented but might want more ground.

#6 Ismene (20-1) – The one to catch and enters in decent form but has dropped six straight. 2-for-2 on fast dirt and can hang around for a share.

#8 Dance to Bristol (5-1) – Had her 7-race win streak snapped at Belmont last time. She likes 7f and should sit decent stalking trip.

#9 Judy the Beauty (6-1) is a different filly at Keeneland and I doubt that she can duplicate her G2 TCA synthetic win on this track.

#7 Summer Applause (15-1) – 1-for-1 at 7f but has been on a steady route diet and probably won’t be able to keep pace with these.

#3 Starship Truffles (15-1) – She can be very good at times but is inconsistent. Likes connections and she would be a bigger threat in Florida.

#10 Great Hot (20-1) – Was 9th at 50-1 in this last year after finishing 2nd in LA Woman. She was 2nd in that race last time and looks like 50-1 again.

#1 Renee’s Titan (30-1) – Post 1 no bargain at 7f and her win against Beholder earlier this year was a fluke.

THE PLAYS:

Win: #12

Exacta: Box 2-12, 2-12/5-6

Trifecta: 2-12/2-5-11-12/2-5-6-8-11-12

Superfecta: 12/2-6/2-6/ALL, 12/2-6/ALL/2-6, 12/ALL/2-6/2-6

SA 7 (G1 BC Turf Sprint) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 5:05pm eastern

#14 UNBRIDLED’S NOTE (8-1) – Tough beat as my top in this last year. Ran well off the shelf in local prep for this and he runs great from outer posts at this trip.

#4 Reneesgotzip (5-1) – Fastest filly in the land was 3rd in 2012 BC Sprint. She is razor sharp and might not look back this year.   

#12 Mizdiection (4-1) – Defending champ won this off the shelf last year and is 5-for-5 down the dip. Smith has options with the versatile sort.

#3 Chips All In (5-1) – Likes downhill course but wish he drew outer post.

#6 Boat Trip (8-1) – Packs a big late kick in turf sprints and just missed by a nose in G3 Eddie D.

#5 Caracortado (8-1) – Solitary start since Jan. 2012 was an encouraging one. Would be a great story if the comeback kid captured this.

#11 Spring to the Sky (30-1) – Early-pressing type in decent form and can hang around for a small share.

#2 Rock Me Baby (30-1) – Troubled 7th in local prep for this. Have to believe that he will find trouble again from inner post.

#13 Dimension (12-1) – Inconsistent 5yo set the pace in lone 2013 win and he won’t get the early lead in this spot.

#10 Havelock (10-1) – Keeneland 5.5f specialist won’t run these down.

#1 Jeranimo (12-1) – Tough draw for deep closer. Turf router will pass tired foes but not enough to make an impact.

#7 Tightend Touchdown (12-1) – Adds speed but probably won’t be able to match strides with Reneesgotzip.

#9 Capo Bastone (8-1) – Tough spot to make turf bow. Will pass tired rivals.

#8 Handsome Mike (30-1) – Likes to get involved early but is not nearly fleet enough to keep up with these at 6.5f.

THE PLAYS:

Win: #14

Exacta: 14/4-12, 4-12/14

Trifecta: 4-12-14/4-12-14/3-4-6-12-14

Superfecta: 14/4-12/4-12/ALL, 14/4-12/ALL/4-12, 14/ALL/4-12/4-12

SA 8 (G1 BC Juvenile) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 5:43pm eastern

#4 NEW YEAR’S DAY (8-1) – Beat next out G1 FrontRunner hero Bond Holder at Del Mar. Like his pedigree and Baffert is known for striking with his longer priced entrant.

#13 Havana (5-2) – G1 Champagne hero has talent to overcome outside draw. He is the fastest horse in here and looks better than these on paper.

#2 Dance With Fate (8-1) – Nice distance progression and in fine form. Can definitely be used underneath, especially after favorable draw.

#3 Mexicoma (12-1) – Freaked in Delaware maiden win for Team Valor, and runner-up came back to score. Intriguing price play despite the fact that he reportedly has the stride of a turf horse.

#6 Tap It Rich (6-1) – Lost a ton of ground but still easily won first time out around two turns here Oct 12. Is he good enough to overcome inexperience? Reportedly not training great.

#5 Bond Holder (8-1) – He improved with added ground, just like his breeding suggested. Look for him late but I am tabbing underneath.

#11 Medal Count (20-1) – Can be used in exotics. Looked great in dirt debut and had traffic woes in G3 Bourbon.

#12 Diamond Bachelor (12-1) – Showed speed in all three turf routes (2 wins, 1 2nd). Decent enough dirt breeding but Havana is the better early runner.

#14 Strong Mandate (6-1) – Flopped in Champagne and drew a tough post in here. Rosario might have no choice but to send.

#10 We Miss Artie (8-1) – G1 Breeders’ Futurity looks weak and he was distant 2nd in lone dirt try.

#1 Smarty’s Echo (20-1) – Finished 2nd in slow renewal of G1 Breeders’ Futurity.

#7 Cleburne (12-1) – 2-for-2 but G3 Iroquois number wasn’t much.

#8 Conquest Titan (30-1) – Had some trouble in Breeders’ Futurity. Faded in lone dirt try.

#9 Rum Point (30-1) – 9th in Del Mar Futurity and 4th in Breeders’ Futurity.

THE PLAYS:

Win: #4

Exacta: Box 4-13, 4-13/2-3

Trifecta: 13/2/ALL, 13/ALL/2

Superfecta: 4-13/2-3-4-13/2-3-4-6-13/2-3-4-5-6-11-12-13

SA 9 (G1 BC Turf) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 6:22pm eastern

#7 THE FUGUE (3-1) – Rough trip 3rd as my top in 2012 F&M Turf. Exits back-to-back Group 1 wins and should beat these with smooth sailing.

#9 Indy Point (9-2) – Mandella always dangerous in BC races at SA. G2 John Henry winner right there every time except G1 Arlington Million fiasco.

#10 Big Blue Kitten (6-1) – One of 2 contenders for Chad Brown. Late run can net a share but The Fugue is in a different class.

#12 Real Solution (8-1) – The higher priced of the Brown runners. He is usually in the mix and is a must use in exotics.

#6 Point of Entry (4-1) – Give connections credit for getting him ready after injury. He is very talented but cannot see him beating The Fugue off the shelf.

#4 Little Mike (6-1) – Have never been on his bandwagon. Won this last year and exits G1 Turf Classic tally at Belmont, stalking the pace both times. Key to success is his ability to rate.

#11 Magician (8-1) – Flopped in Group 1 when last seen in June. He has talent but have never been this far and must reverse form off the shelf.

#1 Vagabond Shoes (15-1) – Has turned into useful turf marathon runner for Sadler. An underneath finish is possible.

#3 Twilight Eclipse (20-1) – Should love the firm SA turf. A cut below the best but I will use in Tri/Supers.

#2 Teaks North (30-1) – Was a decent horse at one time but was claimed at the Spa and was 5th in local prep for this.

#6 Tale of a Champion (30-1) – Flopped in G2 John Henry. Needs easier company and 10f.

#5 Skyring (30-1) – Stole G2 Dixie earlier this year but rarely threatens this type. He will probably set the pace.

THE PLAYS:

Win: #7

Exacta: 7-9

Trifecta: 7/9/ALL, 7/ALL/9

Superfecta: 7/9-10-12/9-10-12/1-3-4-8-9-10-11-12

SA 10 (G1 BC Sprint) Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 7:01pm eastern

#9 SECRET CIRCLE (4-1) – Looked great in his allowance return and is 4-for-4 sprinting. He can rate and is a major player if able to avoid a bounce, and his recent works are encouraging.

#7 Private Zone (3-1) – Takes pace pressure and keeps on fighting. Like his post and he can make it three straight.

#1 Justin Phillip (4-1) – Rallying 5th in 2012 BC Sprint. Having a productive season but inside post is a negative. Minor award not impossible.

#6 Bahamian Squall (10-1) – Wide 5th in G1 Vosburgh. He can close ground and is an interesting exotics threat.

#5 Sum of the Parts (12-1) – Followed up G3 Phoenix win with a 4th in this event last year. Comes in off G3 Phoenix win again.

#4 Gentlemen’s Bet (8-1) – Early-pressing type got bumped at the start in G3 Phoenix. He usually fires in fast track dirt sprints.

#10 Wine Police (30-1) – A win would shock but he is versatile and can pass tired foes. Can be used underneath.

#4 Majestic Stride (20-1) – Lightly raced and has some talent but this is a very tough spot for a speed horse.

#8 Fast Bullet (6-1) – Last year’s 6th place Sprint finisher is brilliant at times. Hard to back after G1 Forego flop in the Saratoga slop.

#2 The Lumber Guy (12-1) – 2012 BC Sprint runner-up not the same horse since.

#11 Trinniberg (8-1) – Won this at 13-1 last year. Went to Dubai in March and didn’t do much there or here since. Local effort on 10-5 was terrible.

#12 Laugh Track (20-1) – Always fires on synthetic/turf but lone dirt start was a bust. He can pass horses.

THE PLAYS:

Win – #9

Exacta – Box 7-9

Trifecta – 7-9/1-6-7-9/1-4-5-6-7-10

Superfecta: 7-9/1-7-9/1-6-7-9/ALL

SA 11 (G1 BC Mile) Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 7:40pm eastern

#5 OLYMPIC GLORY (4-1) – Consistent overseas G1 winner enjoyed blinkers last time. He handles any ground and might be this good.

#8 Wise Dan (1-1) – Defending champ has not lost a turf race in quite some time. He will stalk, pounce, and try to hold off late runners.

#7 He Be Fire N Ice (15-1) – Has turned into a decent flat mile turf runner for Sadler. The patient sort can spice up the exotics.

#10 Za Approval (15-1) – Nice win in G3 Knickerbocker and was 2nd to Wise Dan before that. Gets pace to chase and can land a share.

#1 No Jet Lag (8-1) – Won both U.S. flat mile turf starts including local prep for this. Well-posted and might be good enough for a share.

#4 Obviously (10-1) – Did not get early lead and disappointed in local prep for this. Connections say he will be in front this time and he was 3rd in 2012 BC Mile.

#2 Silentio (20-1) – Consistent, versatile colt runs well fresh.

#3 Silver Max (5-1) – Upset Wise Dan on Polytrack last time. He likes to set the pace but that spot will be occupied by Obviously.

#6 Bright Thought (20-1) – He is fast/talented but this is a tough return spot (off 7+ months).

#9 Cristoforo Columbo (15-1) – Both overseas wins at 6f and this is his third start since Oct. 4.

THE PLAYS:

Win – #5

Exacta – Box 5-8

Trifecta 5-8/1-5-7-8-10/1-5-7-8-10

Superfecta 5/7-8/7-8/ALL, 5/7-8/ALL/7-8, 5/ALL/7-8/7-8

SA 12 (G1 BC Classic) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 8:35pm eastern

#6 MUCHO MACHO MAN (5-1) – 2012 BC Classic runner-up easily won the local prep for this, the G1 Awesome Again. He’s a fresh, dangerous stalker under hot rider Stevens.

#9 Game On Dude (8-5) – Last year’s beaten Classic favorite has never been better, winning all five starts this year. He’s reportedly training super.

#11 Ron the Greek (8-1) – Surprisingly ran away with G1 JCGC. Won G1 Big ‘Cap here in 2012 and can rally for at least a share on his best day.

#10 Will Take Charge (12-1) – Blinkers off did the trick in Jim Dandy (2nd), Travers (1st), and PA Derby (1st). Improving 3YO rates a look.

#7 Fort Larned (6-1) – Defending BC Classic champ won his final prep for this and seems to be a need-to-lead type this year. Training aggressively with final three works in nine days.

#5 Declaration of War (10-1) – Classy overseas runner liked this trip on overseas synthetic and turf footing. KY-bred could handle dirt based on pedigree (War Front – Gone West).

#8 Palace Malice (10-1) – Distant 2nd to Ron the Greek in JCGC. G1 Belmont Stakes hero owns fine tactical speed but still must prove himself against older.

#12 Flat Out (12-1) – 3rd in this event last year. Belmont Park specialist is not as sharp this year, coming off a distant show finish in the JCGC.

#2 Paynter (12-1) – Ambitious placement for G1 Awesome Again runner-up. Dirt Mile might have been a better spot for the 2012 Haskell hero and Belmont Stakes runner-up.

#1 Last Gunfighter (20-1) – Grade 3 type couldn’t hang with the big boys in the JCGC.

#4 Moreno (15-1) – Much improved since adding blinkers in June. Early runner has never faced quality speed horses like Fort Larned and Game On Dude.

#3 Planteur (20-1) – Finished 3rd in Dubai World Cup in March. Bred in Ireland and all races on synthetic (3 starts) and turf (20 starts).

THE PLAYS:

Win: #6

Exacta: Box 6-9, 6-9/5-11

Trifecta: 6-9/ALL/11

Superfecta: 6/9-11/9-11/ALL, 6/9-11/ALL/9-11, 6/ALL/9-11/9-11

Double/Pick 3/Pick 4/Pick 5 contenders – in order of preference

Race

1   (9-8-2)
2   (1)
3   (13-12-10-11)
4   (4-7-1-9)
5   (2-1-3)
6   (12-2-5-11)
7   (14-4-12-6)
8   (4-13-2-3-6)
9   (7-9)
10 (9-7-1-6)
11 (5-8)
12 (6-9-11-5)

Breeders’ Cup Friday Recap

I had a great start to Breeders’ Cup weekend on my Friday full card, which is posted below, along with highlights.

Breeders' Cup 2013

Breeders’ Cup 2013

I am offering full card analysis for Breeders’ Cup Saturday.

Saturday’s full card costs $10 and includes analysis of all races on Saturday, horse-by-horse analysis of each Breeders’ Cup entrant, wagering strategies for all races, and suggested Pick 6 Tickets using DRF TicketMaker.

Click here for Saturday’s free BC play – Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

My Breeders’ Cup Saturday full card is complete and ready to purchase on my Today’s Racing Digest Handicapper page. If you are not a Digest member, you can create a free account.

Click here to purchase my Saturday Breeders’ Cup 2013 analysis.

Breeders’ Cup Friday Full Card Highlights

SA 1 Pure Loyalty ($10.80)
SA 7 BC Juvenile Turf – Outstrip (best bet #2, $14), Exacta ($32.10), Trifecta ($71.90), Superfecta ($1,203.10)
SA 8 Goldencents/Golden Ticket Exacta (best bet #3, $34.10), Trifecta ($222.20)
Double (7-8, $58.40)
Pick 3 (7-9, $210.50)
SA 10 Beholder (best bet #4, $9.60)
Double (9-10, $53)
Pick 3 (8-10, $160)
Pick 4 (7-10, $403.90)

Click here to purchase my Saturday Breeders’ Cup 2013 analysis.

Breeders’ Cup Friday full card analysis from Santa Anita (11-1-13)
By Jarrod Horak (horseracingnation.com, pick6blog.com)  
Weather
: Sunny. High 84.    
Best Bets
(races 5, 7, 8, 10)
Pick 6:
  Races 5-10 (see DRF TicketMaker tickets below)

SA 1 (OC-40k/1x, 6.5T) #8 PURE LOYALTY (8-1) graduated over the local weeds and today’s rider Bejarano guided him to a close-up show finish in the G2 La Jolla. He runs well fresh and can surprise on the cut back. #11 U S Citizen (4-1) missed by a neck vs. similar course/distance rivals Set. 27. Tactical types from outer posts can be dangerous down the dip. #12 Omega Star (12-1) is capable of firing occasional big shots but has been disappointing recently. He tries turf for Hollendorfer and Nakatani is enjoying a productive meet. #10 Kochees (8-1) earned his diploma on the downhill course in his career debut. He makes his first start in more than seven months and will try to get involved late. THE PLAYS: #8 to win, Exacta Box 8-11, Exacta 8-11/10-12   

SA 2 (OC-40k/1x, 7f) #13 WILD DUDE (4-1) gets pace to chase and appears well posted on the outside. He owns solid Late Pace Ratings and can grind past these in his 3rd start off the shelf for the productive Bejarano/Hollendorfer team. #11 Drover Crazy (10-1) and #9 Cat Burglar (9-2) both flattered Wild Dude with their own next out local maiden wins on Oct. 5 and Oct. 10. #2 Got Even (4-1) likes this oval and Miller excels with this type of layoff runner. He has speed, attracts Rosario, and has won at this trip before. #6 Door’s Open (6-1) is 3-for-3 here and exits a romping local 6f score. He might not want to go 7f. THE PLAYS: #13 to win, Trifecta Key 13/2-6-9-11, Trifecta 2-6-9-11/13/2-6-9-11  

SA 3 (Golden State Juvenile, 8f) #2 LIFE IS A JOY (9-2) is 3-for-3 and handled dirt with ease last out. Hollendorfer reaches out for Rosario and he figures in the thick of things throughout. Hollendorfer could also win this one from behind with #7 Tamarando (8-5). The latter is back with state bred friends after a fine rallying show finish in the G1 FrontRunner and a late running victory in the G1 Del Mar Futurity. He gets pace to chase and figures mighty tough in this cozy spot. THE PLAYS: #2 to win, Exacta Box 2-7   

SA 4 (Golden State Juvenile Fillies, 8f) #7 WHATSALLTHEDRAMA (9-2) can rumble past numerous suspect speed types for the recently hot Bejarano/Hollendorfer team. #8 Stole a Kiss (7-2) stretches out and switches surfaces off a layoff for the profitable Talamo/Puype team. #2 Cal Gal (3-1) exits a smart downhill turf maiden win for O’Neill. The $310k purchase is bred to go this far on dirt and will probably stalk the pace. THE PLAYS: #7 to win, Exacta 7/2-8, Exacta 2-8/7

SA 5 (G2 Twilight Derby, 9T) #6 DRY SUMMER (10-1) returned as a gelding and finished 4th in the Oceanside and 7th in the paceless division of the G2 Del Mar Derby. He adds blinkers and Rosario and looks like a live price player. #10 Gervinho (6-1) will get the jump on the late runners and could turn the tables on Gabriel Charles if that one gets stuck in traffic. Bejarano sticks with the consistent stalker. #12 Gabriel Charles (9-2) packed a big late kick under Mike Smith in the Oceanside and G2 Del Mar Derby this summer. He must overcome a wide draw but should be finishing fast. #7 Kid Dreams (3-1) exits a romping score over soft ground in the G3 Hawthorne Derby. A competitive 4th in the G2 Del Mar Derby is a better gauge of his ability. THE PLAYS: #6 to win, Exacta 6/10-12, Exacta 10-12/6

SA 6 (G2 BC Marathon) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 4:45pm eastern

#5 SUNS OUT GUNS OUT (10-1) Added blinkers and seemed much more focused in flat mile Parx win Set. 21, and the place finisher came back to score. He appears best on fast dirt, has always been well regarded, and could sit the right tactical trip. He owns a fine pedigree and might have the lead turning for home.

#4 Ever Rider (7-2) – Has plenty of stamina and last year’s Marathon winner Calidoscopio invaded from Argentina.

#2 Cease (8-1) – Added blinkers and won at 7f for Jacobson last time. He finished 5th in this event in 2011.

#1 Old Time Hockey (8-1) – An interesting price player in this spot. He finished a competitive 4th in a Grade II turf marathon this year and sports a 2nd and a 3rd in his three dirt starts.

#10 Worldly (6-1) – Has not won in quite some time but has tactical speed and likes to purse nibble.

#6 Indian Jones (5-1) – Missed by a nose in G3 Greenwood Cup (12f, mud). The East Coast invader will probably sit back and try to get involved late.

#9 Pool Play (8-1) – Rallied for the show in the G3 Greenwood Cup at 12f and has back class. He will be passing tired horses.

#7 London Bridge (8-1) – Flopped in both synthetic starts but really perked up in overseas turf routes. He should stay the trip but is unknown on dirt and is not bred for it.

#8 Blueskiesnrainbows (6-1) and #3 Commander (6-1) are pace players but I don’t think either will be around at the finish.

THE PLAYS:

Win: #5

Exacta: 5/2-4, 2-4/5

Trifecta: 2-4-5/2-4-5/1-2-4-5-10

Superfecta: 4-5/2-4-5/1-2-4-5/1-2-4-5-6-9-10

SA 7 (G2 BC Juvenile Turf) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 5:25pm eastern

#4 OUTSTRIP (4-1) – Ran well in all four 7f turf starts in GB for Godolphin.

#5 Bobby’s Kitten (5-2) – Freaked in G3 Pilgrim for Chad Brown and I like his running style versatility.

#11 Poker Player (12-1) – Packs nice late punch on turf/synthetic for productive Hill-Catalano team.

#2 Giovanni Boldini (7-2) – 2-for-2 in overseas synthetic races at 7f. 3rd of 5 in lone turf try.

#13 Bashart (6-1) – Consistent Pletcher runner owns early-pressing versatility.

#8 Bon Accord (20-1) – Rallied for show in G3 Bourbon (off the turf). Won lone turf try (Calder).

#7 Aotearoa (12-1) – Smart win in Zuma Beach but these are better.

#3 Got Shades (30-1) – 2-time LAD turf stakes winner finished 3rd in Zuma Beach.

#12 Shamshon (12-1) – Won a pair of 5f overseas turf sprints but did not have answer at 6f last time.

#9 Wilshire Boulevard (8-1) – Busy 7-race overseas campaign produced two wins.

#6 Home School (30-1) – Former Ireland runner was 3rd in OT Juvenile Turf and 4th in Zuma Beach.

#10 Ontology (30-1) – Oak Tree Juvenile Turf runner-up is still a maiden after 5 starts.

#1 All Cash (30-1) – Finished a troubled 4th in the G3 Bourbon and was 3rd in both turf starts. Lukas runner is a maiden after four starts. aroaalist flopped in lone dirt try. at Pants On Fire in Penn Mile. Strub Series. llying show finish.

THE PLAYS:

Win: #4

Exacta: 4/2-5-11, 2-5-11/4

Trifecta: 4-5/2-4-5-11/2-4-5-11

Superfecta: 4-5/2-4-5-11/2-4-5-11-13/2-3-4-5-7-8-11-13

SA 8 (G1 BC Dirt Mile) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 6:05pm eastern

#2 GOLDEN TICKET (12-1) – Was looking at Classic before finishing a flat 4th in G1 Awesome Again. Intriguing cuts back player is 1-for-1 at 8f and has the class and running style versatility to contend here.

#12 Goldencents (4-1) – Been sprinting and holding his own vs. older recently. He sports a pair of local graded route wins. Big work for this – 5f in :58.40. Quotes after SA Sprint Championship: “We were very pleased with what he did today,” said O’Neill assistant Leandro Mora.  “It looks like, according to our owners, that we aren’t going to stay sprinting.  We thought we could sprint but the talk is that we are going to keep him at a mile…Even Rafael (Bejarano) said, ‘Please, let’s go longer.’  He’s got a great kick.  The Breeders’ Cup Mile (Nov. 2) is next, definitely.”

#4 Brujo De Olleros (8-1) – Landed the place in G2 Kelso for Team Valor and should get more pace help this time.

#10 Verrazano (3-1) – Capable of huge efforts if everything goes perfectly. He runs well fresh and this is the right race for him.

#11 Pants On Fire (6-1) – 4-time flat mile winner never better. An outside stalking trip seems likely.

#3 Hymn Book (15-1) – Wet track lover usually puts in an honest late run and can spice up the exotics.

#5 Fed Biz (6-1) – 8th as my top in this event last year. Two graded wins this season but does not always show up.

#7 Alpha (8-1) – Saratoga specialist moves up on wet ground but this isn’t the Spa and the ground will be fast. I am a fan but not in this spot.

#8 Holy Lute (20-1) – Tough spot for the talented, lightly raced colt. Could make some noise in Strub Series.

#6 Broadway Empire (12-1) – 4-for-4 on dirt but has never faced this kind.  

#1 Taptowne (15-1) – Figures to attend the pace. 0-for-5 at this trip.

#9 Centralinteligence (15-1) – Gem of inconsistency is a sprinter.

AE Easter Gift (15-1) – Disappointing 5th in G2 Kelso. Was consistent before his last and beat Pants On Fire in Penn Mile.

THE PLAYS:

Win: #2

Exacta: 2/3-4-12, 4-12/2

Trifecta: 2-12/2-4-10-12/2-3-4-10-11-12

Superfecta:  2/4-12/4-12/ALL, 2/4-12/ALL/4-12, 2/ALL/4-12/4-12

SA 9 (G1 BC Juvenile Fillies Turf) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 6:50pm eastern

#2 AL THAKIHRA (6-1) – 2-for-2 in overseas turf sprints. Fine connections and bred to go this far.  

#6 Vorda (4-1) – Overseas turf sprinter sports 4 wins and a 2nd in 5 total starts.

#8 Chrisellium (6-1)  – Sprung 28-1 surprise in G1 Fillies Mile at Newmarket.

#10 Clenor (8-1) – 3-for-3 in SoCal turf routes. Will try to get involved late.

#13 Sky Painter (15-1) – Won turf sprint bow at the Spa after blowing break and rallied to miss by a nose in G3 Miss Grillo. Lightly raced and well-bred Godolphin runner.

#12 Testa Rossi (8-1) – Nipped Sky Painter in G3 Miss Grillo. Overseas transplant has won four straight on turf.

#14 My Conquestadory (9-2) – Beat males in turf stakes bow and overcame lack of pace and trouble to take G1 Alcibiades. Tough post for talented filly.   

#4 Kitten Kaboodle (12-1) – Highly regarded filly smartly earned diploma in G3 Jessamine.

#1 Nesso (20-1) – Showed rating ability in Surfer Girl but was outkicked by Clenor again.

#5 Granny Mc’s Kitten (20-1) – Wide trip 4th from post 10 as beaten favorite in G3 Miss Grillo. She could bounce back with better post/trip.

#9 Dancing House (20-1) – Decent late move to land the show in G3 Miss Grillo. Owns a nice pedigree and can be used underneath.  

#11 Ready to Act (8-1) – Won turf sprint bow and lost rider in the stretch as the favorite in G2 Natalma. Lacks seasoning.   

#7 Street Sailing (15-1) – Easy allowance turf route win at Keeneland last out but these are much tougher. Goes for Team Valor now.

#3 Colonel Joan (20-1) – Surfer Girl show finisher is winless in 3 tries. She will be alright but probably not in this spot.

THE PLAYS:

Win: #2

Exacta 2/6-8, 6-8/2

Trifecta: 2-6-8/2-6-8/2-6-8-10-13

Superfecta 2/6-8/6-8-10/4-5-6-8-10-12-13

SA 10 (G1 BC Distaff) – Horse comments and wagering strategies below.  

Post Time – 7:35pm eastern

#5 BEHOLDER (5-2) The 3yo fillies are talented and this one has the home field advantage. Princess of Sylmar caught her in the Ky Oaks but it could be a different story at SA. Beholder is fresh, seems more relaxed, and Mandella is dangerous in SoCal BC races. Got the best draw possible.

#4 Royal Delta (8-5) – Was not at her best in the G1 Beldame and Princess of Sylmar made her pay the price. She has been inconsistent this year but owns this race and can still be brilliant at times. She is dangerous when allowed to control the pace but this is an unlikely scenario with Beholder signed on.

#6 Princess of Sylmar (9-5) – Rides a 4-race Grade I winning streak but this race seems like an afterthought. She could sit the right trip if Royal Delta & Beholder hook up but I have a feeling that she is over the top.

#3 Close Hatches (6-1) – Exits back-to-back Grade I wins but these are tougher. She will likely stalk the pace in this spot and her task is not impossible but she will need to kick it up a notch.

#2 Authenticity (8-1) – Tries hard but is a cut below the best. The consistent mare always runs her tactical race but a minor award is probably her limit.

#1 Street Girl (30-1) – Put in a late run to land the show in the G1 Cotillion. This track does not flatter sustained runners and she will be left with too much work to do.

THE PLAYS:

Win: #5

Exacta: 5-2

Trifecta: Key 5/2-4-6

Superfecta: 5/4-6/2-4-6/2-3-5-6

SA 11 (G1 President of UAE Cup – Arabians) #9 SMOKE HOUSE (4-1) adds lasix and could sit the right tactical trip in his 3rd start off the shelf. Cintron rides him well. #1 Sergeant Pepper Mhf (6-1) should sit a nice ground saving trip behind the speed at a better distance. #6 Grilla (4-1) is razor sharp now and beat my top at 10f last time. He is dangerous if able to shake loose but a few others might make him work early. #11 So Big Is Better (12-1) is capable of getting involved late on his best day. THE PLAYS: #9 to win, Exacta Box 1-9, Exacta 1-9/6-11   

Double/Pick 3/Pick 4/Pick 5 contenders – in order of preference

Race

1   (8-11-12-10)
2   (13-11-9-2-6)
3   (2-7)
4   (7-8-2)
5   (6-10-12)
6   (5-4-2-1)
7   (4-5-11-2)
8   (2-12-4-10)
9   (2-6-8-10)
10 (5-4-6)
11 (9-1-6-11)